KAR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.9% | +4.0% | 8.3% | 65% |
| Day 2 | -1.1% | -0.8% | 2.7% | 25% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.6% | 3.0% | 65% |
| 5-day | +5.5% | +4.5% | 15.0% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.27 | 0.35 | +27.6% | +2.5% | -1.9% | -2.2% | +0.3% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.22 | 0.33 | +50.0% | +6.7% | +15.4% | -0.1% | +0.6% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.22 | 0.31 | +40.9% | +8.5% | +13.6% | +2.4% | +9.3% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 0.21 | 0.21 | +1.2% | +5.1% | +4.2% | +2.0% | -1.5% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +19.0% | +5.7% | +11.9% | +0.1% | +4.9% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -7.3% | +0.8% | -1.5% | +1.9% | -1.4% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -9.5% | +0.5% | +1.6% | +1.3% | -1.1% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +22.9% | -3.0% | +3.8% | +2.4% | +15.5% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +20.8% | +4.2% | +4.4% | +2.0% | +5.9% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.12 | 0.25 | +101.8% | +5.0% | -5.1% | -1.1% | +6.5% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +36.3% | +8.3% | +8.2% | +3.0% | +6.3% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 0.17 | 0.33 | +88.8% | +1.9% | +8.9% | -9.2% | -19.3% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -33.2% | -9.6% | -9.6% | -3.1% | +6.4% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | 0.07 | 0.04 | -43.9% | -0.5% | -3.2% | +6.2% | -8.8% |
| 2022-05-03 miss | 0.10 | -0.02 | -120.0% | +5.5% | +3.1% | -13.2% | +10.6% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 0.03 | 0.11 | +302.6% | +9.2% | +14.3% | +34.0% | +32.2% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | 0.10 | 0.08 | -18.7% | -1.6% | -0.8% | +1.0% | +13.8% |
| 2021-08-03 miss | 0.19 | 0.15 | -21.5% | -6.2% | +8.1% | +4.1% | -2.6% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.11 | 0.45 | +310.5% | +11.0% | +16.0% | +1.1% | +8.3% |
| 2021-02-16 miss | 0.28 | -0.01 | -103.6% | -23.6% | -13.7% | -5.6% | -3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.