KAR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | -0.7% | 7.1% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 2.7% | 48% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 2.3% | 53% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +0.1% | 10.8% | 52% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.27 | 0.35 | +27.6% | +2.5% | -1.9% | -2.2% | +0.3% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.22 | 0.33 | +50.0% | +6.7% | +15.4% | -0.1% | +0.6% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.22 | 0.31 | +40.9% | +8.5% | +13.6% | +2.4% | +9.3% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 0.21 | 0.21 | +1.2% | +5.1% | +4.2% | +2.0% | -1.5% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +19.0% | +5.7% | +11.9% | +0.1% | +4.9% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -7.3% | +0.8% | -1.5% | +1.9% | -1.4% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -9.5% | +0.5% | +1.6% | +1.3% | -1.1% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +22.9% | -3.0% | +3.8% | +2.4% | +15.5% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +20.8% | +4.2% | +4.4% | +2.0% | +5.9% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.12 | 0.25 | +101.8% | +5.0% | -5.1% | -1.1% | +6.5% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +36.3% | +8.3% | +8.2% | +3.0% | +6.3% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 0.17 | 0.33 | +88.8% | +1.9% | +8.9% | -9.2% | -19.3% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -33.2% | -9.6% | -9.6% | -3.1% | +6.4% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | 0.07 | 0.04 | -43.9% | -0.5% | -3.2% | +6.2% | -8.8% |
| 2022-05-03 miss | 0.10 | -0.02 | -120.0% | +5.5% | +3.1% | -13.2% | +10.6% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 0.03 | 0.11 | +302.6% | +9.2% | +14.3% | +34.0% | +32.2% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | 0.10 | 0.08 | -18.7% | -1.6% | -0.8% | +1.0% | +13.8% |
| 2021-08-03 miss | 0.19 | 0.15 | -21.5% | -6.2% | +8.1% | +4.1% | -2.6% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.11 | 0.45 | +310.5% | +11.0% | +16.0% | +1.1% | +8.3% |
| 2021-02-16 miss | 0.28 | -0.01 | -103.6% | -23.6% | -13.7% | -5.6% | -3.4% |
| 2020-11-03 beat | 0.28 | 0.36 | +30.6% | -0.6% | +0.6% | +8.9% | +15.5% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | -0.11 | 0.08 | +173.8% | +8.5% | +5.0% | +7.1% | +6.5% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 0.14 | 0.09 | -37.2% | +1.0% | -11.3% | -4.1% | +40.2% |
| 2020-02-18 miss | 0.29 | 0.19 | -33.6% | -2.0% | +4.9% | -11.8% | -44.9% |
| 2019-11-05 miss | 0.40 | 0.35 | -12.3% | -13.7% | -17.5% | +4.1% | -0.2% |
| 2019-08-06 miss | 0.37 | 0.30 | -18.9% | -10.8% | -6.4% | +3.9% | +6.5% |
| 2019-05-07 miss | 0.77 | 0.70 | -9.6% | -4.0% | -2.6% | -0.3% | +10.5% |
| 2019-02-19 beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +4.9% | +0.3% | -13.2% | -1.1% | +6.4% |
| 2018-11-06 miss | 0.70 | 0.70 | -0.3% | +1.2% | -3.1% | +1.4% | -10.0% |
| 2018-08-07 beat | 0.80 | 0.82 | +2.3% | +0.5% | +0.2% | +2.2% | +4.6% |
| 2018-05-08 beat | 0.76 | 0.82 | +7.8% | -0.3% | -1.1% | +1.3% | +4.0% |
| 2018-02-20 beat | 0.53 | 0.63 | +18.9% | +1.9% | -2.9% | +3.0% | +10.3% |
| 2017-10-31 beat | 0.50 | 0.57 | +13.6% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +3.8% | +5.9% |
| 2017-08-08 beat | 0.58 | 0.65 | +12.7% | +4.3% | +7.8% | +2.0% | +3.1% |
| 2017-05-09 beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +4.8% | +4.8% | -1.4% | +0.8% | +3.1% |
| 2017-02-21 miss | 0.48 | 0.45 | -6.0% | -5.8% | -4.0% | +0.6% | -2.7% |
| 2016-11-03 miss | 0.53 | 0.50 | -6.4% | -3.8% | -7.5% | +1.1% | +9.6% |
| 2016-08-02 miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -1.9% | -3.4% | -3.1% | -1.1% | +2.8% |
| 2016-05-03 beat | 0.50 | 0.55 | +9.8% | -0.4% | +0.0% | +8.3% | +12.5% |
| 2016-02-17 miss | 0.42 | 0.40 | -4.3% | +1.8% | -2.5% | +6.3% | +13.1% |
| 2015-11-04 miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -3.1% | -2.0% | -1.9% | -3.9% | +2.1% |
| 2015-08-03 miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -0.2% | +0.0% | -1.1% | +1.5% | -4.7% |
| 2015-05-05 beat | 0.42 | 0.42 | +0.7% | +0.6% | -1.3% | +2.2% | +5.0% |
| 2015-02-17 beat | 0.29 | 0.40 | +37.0% | +1.3% | +3.7% | +0.1% | +0.7% |
| 2014-11-04 beat | 0.32 | 0.40 | +25.4% | +6.0% | +8.6% | +2.6% | +5.8% |
| 2014-08-05 beat | 0.37 | 0.42 | +14.1% | -1.9% | +1.4% | -2.3% | +3.2% |
| 2014-05-05 beat | 0.36 | 0.41 | +13.5% | -0.7% | +0.3% | -1.0% | +4.1% |
| 2014-02-18 miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -2.2% | -0.4% | +3.2% | +4.4% | +8.1% |
| 2013-11-05 beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +5.1% | +2.0% | -1.5% | +0.7% | -5.0% |
| 2013-08-06 beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +12.0% | -2.2% | -3.2% | +7.4% | +10.1% |
| 2013-05-01 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -2.9% | +0.6% | +0.9% | +5.7% | +1.4% |
| 2013-02-20 beat | 0.22 | 0.27 | +22.7% | -0.2% | -2.8% | -0.7% | -6.4% |
| 2012-11-06 miss | 0.26 | 0.23 | -11.9% | -1.1% | -2.3% | -9.5% | -6.6% |
| 2012-08-06 miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -2.8% | -9.4% | +3.7% | +4.6% | +13.3% |
| 2012-05-07 miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -1.0% | -0.4% | -2.3% | -5.3% | -11.0% |
| 2012-02-27 | 0.21 | 0.21 | — | +2.2% | +2.6% | -3.5% | +1.2% |
| 2011-11-02 miss | 0.27 | 0.23 | -15.8% | -6.2% | -5.0% | -3.8% | +5.7% |
| 2011-08-09 miss | 0.32 | 0.25 | -22.1% | -16.1% | -16.3% | +2.2% | -3.0% |
| 2011-04-27 beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +7.3% | +1.1% | +1.5% | +0.7% | +10.1% |
| 2011-02-23 beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +13.5% | +6.2% | -0.6% | -0.5% | +4.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.