KB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.2% | 1.9% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +1.5% | +0.8% | 3.5% | 64% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.8% | 2.2% | 71% |
| 5-day | +3.3% | +3.9% | 7.0% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 beat | 1611.27 | 2034.00 | +26.2% | -0.7% | +1.6% | +17.2% | +6.7% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 4502.02 | 4453.00 | -1.1% | +0.9% | +0.4% | +3.7% | +10.8% |
| 2025-08-14 beat | 4375.57 | 4565.00 | +4.3% | -2.0% | -2.1% | -4.2% | +5.1% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 4253.00 | 4384.00 | +3.1% | +1.4% | +0.1% | +3.8% | +21.3% |
| 2025-03-05 miss | 1591.75 | 1558.00 | -2.1% | +0.3% | -0.1% | -0.6% | -5.0% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 3650.21 | 4216.00 | +15.5% | -0.8% | -0.9% | -2.6% | +4.4% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 3722.78 | 4368.00 | +17.3% | +1.9% | +3.0% | +3.7% | +4.1% |
| 2024-05-16 miss | 2698.01 | 2584.00 | -4.2% | +1.5% | +0.5% | -5.4% | -4.3% |
| 2024-03-06 miss | 858.19 | 572.00 | -33.4% | +0.9% | -0.2% | +12.4% | -1.0% |
| 2023-11-14 miss | 3611.27 | 3380.00 | -6.4% | +3.0% | +3.7% | +0.2% | -2.0% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 3374.20 | 3691.00 | +9.4% | +1.4% | +1.9% | +6.0% | +3.5% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 3291.52 | 3669.00 | +11.5% | -1.0% | -0.4% | -0.5% | +0.3% |
| 2023-03-24 miss | 1876.71 | 819.00 | -56.4% | -4.5% | -2.9% | +0.5% | +0.3% |
| 2022-10-24 miss | 3248.57 | 3097.00 | -4.7% | +0.3% | +2.4% | +3.5% | +15.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.