KEY chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.4% | -1.5% | 2.7% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +0.9% | 3.6% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 2.2% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +0.6% | 4.8% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +4.4% | -2.0% | -1.6% | -1.4% | -3.7% |
| 2026-04-16 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +8.0% | +0.2% | +0.5% | +1.6% | -2.9% |
| 2026-01-20 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +6.3% | -2.9% | -0.4% | +1.8% | +3.3% |
| 2025-10-16 beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.6% | -3.2% | -5.4% | +4.4% | +5.0% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +1.9% | +1.2% | +2.4% | -1.7% | -2.6% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +4.0% | +3.1% | +1.4% | +3.2% | +15.6% |
| 2025-01-21 beat | 0.33 | 0.38 | +16.7% | -4.7% | -3.6% | +0.1% | -0.3% |
| 2024-10-17 miss | 0.22 | -0.47 | -309.4% | -2.8% | -2.5% | -0.1% | +11.1% |
| 2024-07-18 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +3.5% | -2.2% | -4.0% | +3.7% | +5.3% |
| 2024-04-18 miss | 0.23 | 0.20 | -11.6% | -0.9% | -0.3% | +1.6% | +7.1% |
| 2024-01-18 miss | 0.23 | 0.03 | -87.0% | -2.8% | -4.6% | +10.2% | +6.6% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +7.5% | +2.1% | -1.1% | -3.7% | +16.7% |
| 2023-07-20 miss | 0.32 | 0.27 | -15.0% | -3.2% | +4.1% | +3.2% | -8.8% |
| 2023-04-20 miss | 0.43 | 0.30 | -30.4% | -6.3% | -2.7% | -9.1% | -18.4% |
| 2023-01-19 miss | 0.55 | 0.38 | -30.5% | -1.2% | -4.6% | +13.9% | +16.4% |
| 2022-10-20 miss | 0.59 | 0.55 | -6.0% | -2.9% | -3.9% | +12.0% | +17.4% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +4.7% | +2.0% | +0.7% | -1.9% | +5.7% |
| 2022-04-21 miss | 0.49 | 0.45 | -7.6% | -2.5% | -3.1% | -5.0% | -13.1% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | 0.57 | 0.64 | +13.2% | +0.6% | -1.8% | -0.8% | +2.0% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 0.57 | 0.65 | +15.0% | +1.2% | +0.3% | -1.2% | -1.7% |
| 2021-07-20 beat | 0.54 | 0.72 | +33.1% | -2.9% | +3.3% | +1.4% | +4.8% |
| 2021-04-20 beat | 0.48 | 0.61 | +27.5% | -1.1% | -2.8% | +8.1% | +15.4% |
| 2021-01-21 beat | 0.43 | 0.56 | +30.7% | +0.1% | -0.8% | -4.6% | +12.9% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 0.36 | 0.41 | +14.2% | -4.4% | -5.0% | -0.2% | +25.8% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +25.6% | -3.1% | -1.4% | +4.9% | +0.2% |
| 2020-04-16 miss | 0.33 | 0.12 | -63.5% | +0.4% | -5.5% | +9.1% | -0.2% |
| 2020-01-23 miss | 0.48 | 0.48 | -1.0% | +0.7% | +1.1% | -3.8% | -4.3% |
| 2019-10-17 beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +3.5% | +1.5% | -1.0% | +3.8% | +8.3% |
| 2019-07-23 miss | 0.44 | 0.44 | -0.5% | +0.6% | +3.5% | +3.2% | -8.8% |
| 2019-04-18 miss | 0.42 | 0.40 | -3.7% | -1.6% | -2.2% | +3.0% | +0.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.