KEYS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +0.8% | 8.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | +0.2% | 2.2% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.3% | 2.1% | 57% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.3% | 8.6% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 beat | 2.48 | 3.07 | +23.7% | +2.3% | -6.3% | +0.8% | — |
| 2026-05-19 beat | 2.32 | 2.87 | +23.7% | -4.1% | -0.6% | -0.9% | +9.1% |
| 2026-02-23 beat | 2.00 | 2.17 | +8.8% | +13.4% | +23.1% | +0.4% | -2.8% |
| 2025-11-24 beat | 1.85 | 1.91 | +3.0% | +12.8% | +10.0% | +5.7% | +5.4% |
| 2025-08-19 beat | 1.67 | 1.72 | +2.9% | -4.7% | -3.0% | +4.1% | +12.4% |
| 2025-05-20 beat | 1.65 | 1.70 | +3.3% | +5.4% | -0.2% | -2.3% | -0.9% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 1.69 | 1.82 | +7.6% | -6.1% | -6.9% | -2.4% | -3.2% |
| 2024-11-19 beat | 1.57 | 1.65 | +5.0% | +8.6% | +8.8% | +1.9% | -1.4% |
| 2024-08-20 beat | 1.35 | 1.57 | +16.6% | +13.0% | +13.9% | -3.3% | -3.4% |
| 2024-05-20 beat | 1.39 | 1.41 | +1.6% | -4.1% | -8.4% | -4.8% | -6.4% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 1.59 | 1.63 | +2.7% | -9.2% | -6.7% | +6.7% | +7.1% |
| 2023-11-20 beat | 1.87 | 1.99 | +6.4% | +1.9% | -0.3% | +2.5% | +18.0% |
| 2023-08-17 beat | 2.04 | 2.19 | +7.3% | -14.4% | -13.8% | -0.1% | +2.8% |
| 2023-05-16 beat | 1.95 | 2.12 | +8.8% | +9.2% | +7.6% | -1.4% | +4.6% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 1.85 | 2.02 | +8.9% | -12.2% | -12.7% | -1.6% | -2.1% |
| 2022-11-17 beat | 1.99 | 2.14 | +7.5% | +3.6% | +3.5% | +1.0% | +0.3% |
| 2022-08-17 beat | 1.79 | 2.01 | +12.4% | +4.3% | +5.9% | -3.8% | -7.5% |
| 2022-05-17 beat | 1.68 | 1.83 | +9.2% | -2.4% | -3.1% | +1.1% | -1.6% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 1.55 | 1.65 | +6.1% | -2.4% | -3.0% | -2.0% | -1.1% |
| 2021-11-22 beat | 1.64 | 1.82 | +10.7% | +0.1% | +1.7% | -0.8% | +3.1% |
| 2021-08-18 beat | 1.44 | 1.54 | +6.8% | +0.0% | +1.9% | +5.3% | +4.3% |
| 2021-05-19 beat | 1.34 | 1.44 | +7.5% | -1.6% | +2.1% | -0.3% | +5.7% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | 1.37 | 1.43 | +4.4% | +1.7% | -4.0% | -0.5% | -3.3% |
| 2020-11-18 beat | 1.46 | 1.62 | +10.9% | -0.8% | +2.4% | +0.9% | +7.6% |
| 2020-08-20 beat | 0.84 | 1.19 | +41.7% | +2.7% | -6.7% | +1.5% | +1.6% |
| 2020-05-26 miss | 1.03 | 0.78 | -24.4% | -5.7% | -1.6% | +4.7% | -1.3% |
| 2020-02-24 beat | 1.10 | 1.26 | +15.0% | +9.8% | +3.0% | -0.2% | -12.5% |
| 2019-11-26 beat | 1.18 | 1.33 | +13.1% | +1.6% | +2.2% | -6.7% | -5.4% |
| 2019-08-21 beat | 1.02 | 1.25 | +22.4% | +5.9% | +12.6% | -3.5% | -0.5% |
| 2019-05-29 beat | 0.99 | 1.22 | +22.9% | +11.7% | +11.3% | +0.5% | +13.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.