LB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | -0.6% | 9.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +2.5% | +1.6% | 5.4% | 88% |
| Day 3 | -3.4% | -0.3% | 9.4% | 38% |
| 5-day | -1.0% | +2.6% | 12.3% | 62% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +8.1% | +4.2% | +6.3% | -6.4% | +7.6% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 0.31 | 0.23 | -25.8% | -3.0% | -3.1% | +5.5% | +8.9% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.32 | 0.54 | +67.5% | +6.2% | +13.7% | +0.1% | -3.3% |
| 2025-11-12 miss | 0.51 | 0.24 | -53.3% | -4.3% | -10.3% | -18.3% | -28.4% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 0.38 | 0.23 | -38.3% | +0.3% | +1.9% | -11.4% | -8.3% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 0.36 | 0.22 | -40.1% | -3.0% | -11.4% | +16.2% | +5.6% |
| 2025-03-06 miss | 0.33 | 0.15 | -55.1% | -4.0% | -6.1% | +9.6% | -3.0% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 2.36 | 0.15 | -93.6% | +6.9% | +11.6% | -4.5% | -9.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.