LEA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | +0.2% | 5.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.5% | 2.3% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.2% | 2.4% | 55% |
| 5-day | -1.1% | -0.8% | 8.0% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 3.98 | 4.28 | +7.6% | -4.1% | -10.7% | -6.0% | -4.3% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 3.51 | 3.87 | +10.4% | +0.9% | +4.2% | +5.5% | +11.3% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 2.80 | 3.41 | +21.8% | +9.5% | +10.7% | +4.9% | -9.3% |
| 2025-10-31 miss | 2.79 | 2.79 | -0.1% | +2.4% | +1.1% | +5.2% | +3.1% |
| 2025-07-25 beat | 3.30 | 3.47 | +5.1% | -5.8% | -8.1% | -6.4% | +10.3% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 2.70 | 3.12 | +15.7% | -3.8% | -2.5% | +10.9% | +1.3% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 2.58 | 2.94 | +14.0% | +5.1% | +1.3% | +1.8% | +5.0% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 2.56 | 2.89 | +13.1% | +1.2% | -6.5% | -2.5% | -0.3% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 3.39 | 3.60 | +6.1% | +0.3% | +3.7% | -0.9% | -3.3% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 3.07 | 3.18 | +3.7% | -3.9% | -8.3% | +1.7% | -1.6% |
| 2024-02-06 miss | 3.11 | 3.03 | -2.5% | -4.7% | +0.6% | -1.6% | +5.2% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 2.62 | 2.87 | +9.7% | +4.0% | +2.9% | -4.2% | +1.0% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 3.21 | 3.33 | +3.8% | +1.0% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -6.0% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 2.55 | 2.78 | +9.2% | -1.0% | -2.1% | -7.2% | -0.4% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 2.58 | 2.81 | +8.9% | -0.6% | -3.1% | -4.7% | -2.6% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 2.13 | 2.33 | +9.6% | -0.2% | -3.7% | +1.4% | +5.4% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 1.44 | 1.79 | +24.3% | -1.0% | +2.5% | -7.9% | -10.7% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 1.57 | 1.80 | +15.0% | -0.7% | +3.5% | -4.1% | +5.2% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 1.13 | 1.22 | +8.3% | +1.3% | +0.6% | +2.1% | -19.5% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | 0.64 | 0.53 | -17.1% | -1.2% | -1.5% | +3.7% | +1.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.