LEA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.5% | -0.7% | 6.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 2.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +1.0% | 1.9% | 80% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | +3.0% | 10.8% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 3.98 | 4.28 | +7.6% | -4.1% | -10.7% | -6.0% | -4.3% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 3.51 | 3.87 | +10.4% | +0.9% | +4.2% | +5.5% | +11.3% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 2.80 | 3.41 | +21.8% | +9.5% | +10.7% | +4.9% | -9.3% |
| 2025-10-31 miss | 2.79 | 2.79 | -0.1% | +2.4% | +1.1% | +5.2% | +3.1% |
| 2025-07-25 beat | 3.30 | 3.47 | +5.1% | -5.8% | -8.1% | -6.4% | +10.3% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 2.70 | 3.12 | +15.7% | -3.8% | -2.5% | +10.9% | +1.3% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 2.58 | 2.94 | +14.0% | +5.1% | +1.3% | +1.8% | +5.0% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 2.56 | 2.89 | +13.1% | +1.2% | -6.5% | -2.5% | -0.3% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 3.39 | 3.60 | +6.1% | +0.3% | +3.7% | -0.9% | -3.3% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 3.07 | 3.18 | +3.7% | -3.9% | -8.3% | +1.7% | -1.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.