LEE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.8% | -0.7% | 7.6% | 39% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.2% | 4.5% | 42% |
| Day 3 | -1.8% | -1.0% | 4.7% | 26% |
| 5-day | -4.3% | -4.0% | 12.6% | 29% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-06 miss | -0.40 | -2.80 | -600.0% | -5.4% | -7.9% | -6.4% | -33.0% |
| 2024-12-12 miss | 0.65 | -1.69 | -360.0% | +1.1% | -0.6% | -9.4% | -21.0% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.68 | -0.73 | -207.3% | -2.0% | -4.0% | -3.3% | -6.7% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | -0.22 | -2.06 | -836.4% | +2.4% | +2.4% | -2.5% | -0.7% |
| 2023-12-07 miss | 1.40 | -0.32 | -122.9% | -2.3% | -16.6% | -4.6% | -10.9% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 0.93 | 0.65 | -29.6% | -0.1% | -4.1% | -10.9% | -13.2% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | -0.51 | -0.65 | -27.6% | +2.3% | -4.3% | +19.1% | +33.3% |
| 2023-03-02 miss | 0.90 | -0.08 | -108.6% | -1.1% | -5.1% | -11.5% | -29.7% |
| 2022-12-08 miss | 1.31 | -1.09 | -183.2% | +3.8% | +2.1% | -10.9% | +6.2% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.48 | 0.69 | +43.9% | +0.1% | +2.4% | +0.1% | +0.7% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -0.11 | -0.03 | +72.7% | +0.0% | -5.5% | -13.4% | -7.1% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 0.54 | 1.06 | +96.9% | -9.2% | -12.9% | -2.1% | -15.4% |
| 2018-08-03 beat | 1.10 | 1.27 | +15.7% | +1.6% | -3.3% | -1.7% | -1.7% |
| 2018-05-03 | — | 0.40 | — | +2.1% | +0.0% | -2.1% | +10.6% |
| 2017-08-03 miss | 0.60 | 0.50 | -16.7% | +0.0% | +10.5% | -4.8% | -2.4% |
| 2017-05-04 miss | 1.20 | -0.10 | -108.3% | -5.6% | -24.1% | -2.4% | +0.0% |
| 2017-02-02 beat | 1.50 | 1.60 | +6.7% | +1.6% | -1.6% | -1.7% | -15.0% |
| 2016-12-09 beat | 0.90 | 1.40 | +55.6% | +4.5% | +0.0% | -10.4% | -6.0% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | 0.70 | 0.80 | +14.3% | +2.9% | +12.6% | +20.8% | +63.5% |
| 2016-05-05 miss | 0.10 | -0.10 | -200.0% | -2.7% | -10.3% | -2.5% | -2.5% |
| 2016-02-04 beat | 2.10 | 2.20 | +4.8% | +2.4% | -4.7% | -1.7% | +66.1% |
| 2015-05-07 beat | -0.15 | 0.30 | +300.0% | +0.3% | +2.5% | -1.5% | -12.2% |
| 2015-02-05 beat | 1.49 | 2.20 | +47.6% | -2.0% | -0.7% | -3.4% | +2.7% |
| 2014-12-11 miss | 0.21 | 0.20 | -4.8% | +0.5% | -3.7% | +1.1% | -10.1% |
| 2014-08-07 miss | 1.16 | 1.10 | -5.2% | +3.6% | +6.1% | -4.1% | -8.2% |
| 2014-05-08 beat | 0.05 | 0.50 | +900.0% | +0.0% | +0.5% | -3.6% | +4.8% |
| 2013-11-11 beat | 0.84 | 2.50 | +197.6% | -3.6% | +0.9% | +12.7% | -0.9% |
| 2013-07-23 miss | 0.87 | 0.60 | -31.0% | +1.8% | +11.1% | -4.2% | -21.9% |
| 2013-04-24 miss | 0.53 | -0.50 | -194.3% | -1.5% | -2.2% | +12.7% | +27.6% |
| 2013-01-23 beat | 1.58 | 2.00 | +26.6% | +3.2% | +3.2% | -3.8% | -3.8% |
| 2012-11-13 miss | 0.13 | -0.10 | -176.9% | +0.0% | +0.6% | -24.5% | -25.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.