LGIH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +4.0% | +7.7% | 7.6% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -1.6% | 4.1% | 10% |
| Day 3 | -1.6% | -2.4% | 2.6% | 20% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +1.1% | 9.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 1.16 | 1.16 | — | +6.2% | +9.6% | -6.0% | -13.0% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | -0.13 | 0.24 | +284.6% | +6.7% | +8.0% | -6.6% | -0.4% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.91 | 0.97 | +6.2% | -3.7% | -4.4% | -10.4% | -34.2% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | 0.93 | 0.85 | -8.8% | +5.4% | +9.1% | +5.8% | +13.9% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.31 | 1.36 | +3.8% | +0.3% | +8.6% | +3.5% | +10.3% |
| 2025-04-29 miss | 0.63 | 0.17 | -73.1% | -1.7% | -7.8% | -2.7% | -7.2% |
| 2025-02-25 miss | 2.18 | 2.15 | -1.2% | +9.4% | +2.5% | -8.8% | -10.5% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 2.53 | 2.95 | +16.8% | +0.0% | +7.4% | -5.6% | -4.9% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 2.27 | 2.48 | +9.2% | +6.7% | +13.8% | -14.6% | -10.0% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 1.08 | 0.72 | -33.4% | -1.6% | -6.4% | +9.3% | +6.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.