LII chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.3% | -1.9% | 6.1% | 37% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.6% | 2.3% | 67% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 1.8% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | +0.7% | 7.4% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 7.70 | 7.72 | +0.3% | -9.8% | -21.0% | +3.9% | -9.0% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 3.18 | 3.35 | +5.3% | +5.5% | +4.5% | +4.6% | -3.0% |
| 2026-01-28 miss | 4.72 | 4.45 | -5.7% | -2.9% | -2.3% | +9.6% | +16.9% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 6.84 | 6.98 | +2.0% | +0.2% | -10.2% | -1.1% | -9.9% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 6.87 | 7.82 | +13.9% | +9.6% | +6.6% | -6.8% | -13.6% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 3.25 | 3.37 | +3.6% | -10.0% | -9.0% | +7.5% | +12.9% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 4.24 | 5.60 | +32.0% | -4.9% | -8.8% | -3.2% | -0.5% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 6.01 | 6.68 | +11.1% | +0.2% | +2.6% | -1.5% | +6.7% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 6.57 | 6.83 | +4.0% | -6.0% | -4.9% | +7.8% | +6.1% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 3.16 | 3.47 | +9.9% | -1.4% | -1.8% | -2.7% | +5.1% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 3.43 | 3.63 | +5.7% | -2.8% | -4.4% | +2.2% | +10.5% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 4.71 | 5.37 | +14.0% | +4.1% | +5.5% | +6.8% | +15.1% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 5.17 | 6.15 | +18.9% | +4.7% | +6.1% | +4.8% | +1.2% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 2.47 | 2.83 | +14.6% | +4.9% | +9.0% | -0.5% | +0.1% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 2.55 | 2.63 | +3.1% | +8.9% | +6.3% | +1.0% | -2.0% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 4.10 | 4.10 | -0.1% | -1.8% | -2.8% | +3.7% | +14.2% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 4.75 | 5.00 | +5.2% | +3.0% | +3.3% | +4.2% | +3.4% |
| 2022-04-25 beat | 2.08 | 2.36 | +13.2% | -2.4% | -3.2% | -9.4% | -15.6% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | 1.99 | 2.35 | +18.1% | +0.4% | -2.2% | -1.4% | -1.3% |
| 2021-10-25 miss | 3.60 | 3.40 | -5.7% | -5.0% | -2.5% | -0.4% | +5.7% |
| 2021-07-26 beat | 4.41 | 4.57 | +3.6% | -2.7% | +2.1% | +0.3% | +1.0% |
| 2021-04-26 beat | 1.31 | 2.27 | +72.7% | +3.8% | -0.6% | +2.3% | +3.6% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 2.64 | 2.89 | +9.4% | -0.3% | -2.2% | +2.9% | +0.6% |
| 2020-10-19 beat | 3.15 | 3.53 | +12.1% | +1.6% | -3.4% | +1.2% | +7.4% |
| 2020-07-20 beat | 2.71 | 2.97 | +9.5% | -3.5% | +2.8% | +6.8% | +9.2% |
| 2020-04-20 miss | 1.09 | 0.56 | -48.5% | -6.5% | -1.6% | +2.0% | +4.6% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 2.45 | 2.45 | +0.1% | +3.9% | +2.3% | -0.6% | +7.0% |
| 2019-10-21 miss | 3.41 | 3.34 | -2.0% | -4.8% | -2.0% | -0.5% | +2.4% |
| 2019-07-22 miss | 4.12 | 3.74 | -9.1% | -5.1% | -5.3% | -3.1% | -2.1% |
| 2019-04-22 beat | 1.43 | 1.68 | +17.1% | -2.1% | -1.1% | +2.6% | +4.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.