LINE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.5% | +0.4% | 6.3% | 56% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.4% | 3.7% | 56% |
| Day 3 | -0.9% | -1.1% | 2.5% | 22% |
| 5-day | -3.4% | -3.4% | 10.9% | 33% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | -0.22 | -0.11 | +49.9% | -1.7% | -2.0% | +0.9% | -6.8% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | -0.25 | -0.15 | +42.5% | -1.7% | +3.6% | +5.3% | +12.7% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | -0.14 | 0.19 | +233.2% | -2.0% | +6.3% | +0.2% | -16.8% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | -0.09 | 0.03 | +130.4% | +1.8% | +0.4% | -12.1% | -6.7% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | -0.12 | 0.01 | +109.1% | -3.0% | +0.6% | -7.6% | -9.2% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | -0.01 | -0.07 | -629.7% | -2.1% | -14.6% | -8.9% | -11.5% |
| 2025-02-26 miss | 0.06 | -0.33 | -629.3% | -0.6% | +2.3% | +8.0% | +4.8% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | -1.71 | -2.44 | -42.9% | +2.0% | -7.4% | -4.5% | -8.4% |
| 2024-08-21 miss | -0.10 | -0.46 | -360.0% | -0.6% | -2.4% | -1.1% | -4.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.