LOW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | +0.3% | 3.1% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 1.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 1.7% | 55% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +0.0% | 4.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 beat | 4.22 | 4.40 | +4.2% | +0.6% | +2.0% | -4.4% | — |
| 2026-05-20 beat | 2.97 | 3.03 | +2.1% | -2.0% | +1.2% | -1.4% | -3.0% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 1.94 | 1.98 | +1.9% | -4.4% | -5.6% | -1.7% | -10.3% |
| 2025-11-19 beat | 2.95 | 3.06 | +3.6% | +4.8% | +4.0% | +5.8% | +5.3% |
| 2025-08-20 beat | 4.24 | 4.33 | +2.2% | +3.5% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +3.1% |
| 2025-05-21 beat | 2.88 | 2.92 | +1.4% | +0.6% | -1.7% | -1.1% | -3.9% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 1.84 | 1.93 | +4.8% | +3.9% | +1.9% | -1.7% | -6.0% |
| 2024-11-19 beat | 2.81 | 2.89 | +2.8% | -3.2% | -4.6% | +5.9% | -5.7% |
| 2024-08-20 beat | 4.00 | 4.10 | +2.6% | -1.3% | -1.2% | +3.4% | +8.6% |
| 2024-05-21 beat | 2.95 | 3.06 | +3.6% | +1.1% | -1.9% | -4.7% | +1.7% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | 1.68 | 1.77 | +5.2% | +0.5% | +1.8% | +2.3% | +7.6% |
| 2023-11-21 beat | 3.03 | 3.06 | +0.9% | -3.4% | -3.1% | +0.9% | +12.9% |
| 2023-08-22 beat | 4.48 | 4.56 | +1.8% | +2.1% | +3.7% | +0.3% | -6.7% |
| 2023-05-23 beat | 3.45 | 3.67 | +6.5% | -0.2% | +1.7% | -2.7% | +4.1% |
| 2023-03-01 beat | 2.21 | 2.28 | +2.9% | -0.2% | -5.6% | +3.5% | -0.9% |
| 2022-11-16 beat | 3.09 | 3.27 | +5.7% | +1.6% | +3.0% | -1.9% | -4.2% |
| 2022-08-17 beat | 4.59 | 4.67 | +1.7% | -1.0% | +0.6% | -3.2% | -10.9% |
| 2022-05-18 beat | 3.23 | 3.51 | +8.7% | -3.4% | -5.3% | +2.6% | -6.2% |
| 2022-02-23 beat | 1.69 | 1.78 | +5.2% | +3.5% | +0.2% | +6.3% | +1.9% |
| 2021-11-17 beat | 2.35 | 2.73 | +16.1% | +2.1% | +0.4% | +2.8% | +1.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.