LOW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.4% | 3.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.6% | 1.1% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.2% | 1.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | +0.0% | 4.8% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 beat | 4.22 | 4.40 | +4.2% | +0.6% | +2.0% | -4.4% | — |
| 2026-05-20 beat | 2.97 | 3.03 | +2.1% | -2.0% | +1.2% | -1.4% | -3.0% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 1.94 | 1.98 | +1.9% | -4.4% | -5.6% | -1.7% | -10.3% |
| 2025-11-19 beat | 2.95 | 3.06 | +3.6% | +4.8% | +4.0% | +5.8% | +5.3% |
| 2025-08-20 beat | 4.24 | 4.33 | +2.2% | +3.5% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +3.1% |
| 2025-05-21 beat | 2.88 | 2.92 | +1.4% | +0.6% | -1.7% | -1.1% | -3.9% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 1.84 | 1.93 | +4.8% | +3.9% | +1.9% | -1.7% | -6.0% |
| 2024-11-19 beat | 2.81 | 2.89 | +2.8% | -3.2% | -4.6% | +5.9% | -5.7% |
| 2024-08-20 beat | 4.00 | 4.10 | +2.6% | -1.3% | -1.2% | +3.4% | +8.6% |
| 2024-05-21 beat | 2.95 | 3.06 | +3.6% | +1.1% | -1.9% | -4.7% | +1.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.