LRCX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.2% | +2.9% | 6.6% | 65% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.6% | 3.2% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.5% | 2.0% | 60% |
| 5-day | +3.6% | +1.3% | 9.3% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.68 | 1.82 | +8.1% | +26.1% | +18.0% | +2.7% | +1.4% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.36 | 1.47 | +7.9% | -0.2% | -2.6% | -0.3% | +18.1% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 1.17 | 1.27 | +8.7% | +2.5% | +3.6% | -14.0% | -6.9% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 1.22 | 1.26 | +3.3% | -2.3% | +4.5% | +9.1% | -3.3% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.21 | 1.33 | +10.4% | -8.1% | -4.3% | +4.5% | +5.6% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 1.00 | 1.04 | +4.1% | +4.4% | +6.2% | +1.2% | +14.3% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 0.88 | 0.91 | +3.5% | +6.1% | +7.4% | +2.6% | -6.1% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 0.81 | 0.86 | +6.5% | +4.6% | +5.1% | -2.9% | -5.1% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.76 | 0.81 | +7.3% | -7.2% | -9.9% | -3.8% | -1.1% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.73 | 0.78 | +6.8% | +2.8% | +1.9% | -2.0% | +7.7% |
| 2024-01-24 beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +5.7% | +3.4% | +2.1% | -3.9% | +8.5% |
| 2023-10-18 beat | 0.61 | 0.69 | +11.8% | -2.4% | -6.3% | -2.8% | +16.3% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.51 | 0.60 | +16.5% | +5.1% | +9.3% | -1.2% | -5.9% |
| 2023-04-19 beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +7.1% | +4.1% | +7.2% | -1.4% | +11.8% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 1.00 | 1.07 | +7.1% | -0.7% | +1.9% | +8.7% | -3.0% |
| 2022-10-19 beat | 0.95 | 1.04 | +9.2% | +3.2% | +7.8% | +9.3% | +28.3% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.73 | 0.88 | +20.4% | -0.7% | +3.7% | +9.7% | -6.5% |
| 2022-04-20 miss | 0.75 | 0.74 | -1.4% | +1.5% | -2.5% | +3.2% | +1.0% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 0.85 | 0.85 | +0.2% | -0.3% | -6.9% | +6.0% | +1.1% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 0.82 | 0.84 | +1.9% | -3.6% | -1.8% | +1.9% | +16.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.