LUMN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.0% | -1.8% | 10.8% | 42% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 5.0% | 58% |
| Day 3 | +1.2% | +0.6% | 4.6% | 67% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -0.5% | 11.0% | 42% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | -0.14 | -0.07 | +50.5% | -2.4% | -9.4% | +3.5% | +13.7% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | -0.12 | -0.47 | -286.0% | -4.1% | +6.3% | -4.2% | -9.2% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | -0.27 | 0.23 | +185.2% | -13.8% | -21.6% | +18.4% | -0.2% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | -0.27 | -0.20 | +24.7% | -15.9% | -0.6% | +2.3% | -11.1% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | -0.27 | -0.03 | +88.7% | -9.7% | -16.6% | +1.3% | +29.1% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -0.27 | -0.13 | +51.1% | +3.7% | +7.4% | +16.1% | +8.7% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | -0.05 | 0.09 | +295.6% | +8.9% | -1.4% | -6.2% | +6.6% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | -0.08 | -0.13 | -53.6% | -2.9% | +18.5% | -1.4% | -22.4% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | -0.04 | -0.13 | -194.1% | +44.4% | +32.6% | -14.6% | -11.9% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 0.03 | -0.04 | -228.7% | -5.0% | +1.7% | +5.8% | +6.6% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | -0.01 | 0.08 | +791.4% | +12.6% | +7.4% | +9.7% | +25.5% |
| 2023-10-31 miss | 0.06 | -0.09 | -246.9% | -5.5% | -32.9% | +32.7% | +51.0% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +27.8% | -13.8% | -11.8% | -2.8% | -11.2% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.03 | 0.10 | +242.0% | +5.6% | -2.1% | +3.1% | -12.2% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 0.24 | 0.43 | +82.9% | -19.2% | -20.8% | -1.0% | -32.2% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 0.35 | 0.14 | -60.2% | -16.0% | -17.7% | +11.2% | -10.3% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 0.46 | 0.35 | -23.2% | -2.5% | -2.8% | +2.9% | -9.1% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.45 | 0.63 | +39.3% | +5.5% | +0.8% | +6.8% | +9.2% |
| 2022-02-09 miss | 0.54 | 0.51 | -5.4% | -12.9% | -15.5% | -9.7% | -1.1% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.37 | 0.49 | +30.8% | +5.3% | +12.6% | +4.0% | -11.4% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 0.41 | 0.48 | +17.9% | -0.9% | -8.9% | +6.7% | +6.3% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +7.9% | +1.0% | +5.2% | +5.4% | +10.1% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | 0.29 | 0.48 | +65.7% | -3.8% | -7.9% | +3.8% | +23.4% |
| 2020-11-04 beat | 0.30 | 0.40 | +32.0% | +5.5% | +5.5% | +3.7% | +6.2% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | 0.32 | 0.42 | +31.5% | +3.3% | +7.3% | +2.7% | +1.9% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +6.1% | +1.1% | -3.6% | -3.5% | +19.4% |
| 2020-02-12 beat | 0.33 | 0.33 | +0.1% | -4.4% | -8.4% | -4.8% | -29.5% |
| 2019-11-06 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -4.1% | +1.7% | +11.4% | +0.1% | -4.8% |
| 2019-08-07 beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +10.8% | -1.6% | -7.6% | -1.3% | +11.8% |
| 2019-05-08 beat | 0.26 | 0.34 | +29.2% | -3.7% | -5.0% | -1.9% | -4.9% |
| 2019-02-13 beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +13.5% | -11.8% | -13.1% | +5.2% | -5.6% |
| 2018-11-08 miss | 0.30 | 0.30 | -1.0% | -12.0% | -10.3% | +1.4% | -8.4% |
| 2018-08-08 miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -2.6% | +5.0% | +13.1% | +11.3% | +4.0% |
| 2018-05-09 beat | 0.20 | 0.25 | +24.0% | +5.0% | +7.5% | -0.8% | -8.0% |
| 2018-02-14 miss | 0.33 | 0.18 | -45.4% | +7.6% | +8.8% | -4.8% | -12.8% |
| 2017-11-08 miss | 0.45 | 0.42 | -7.0% | -9.0% | -4.8% | -4.7% | +2.5% |
| 2017-08-02 miss | 0.49 | 0.46 | -5.7% | -1.6% | -5.5% | -3.4% | -10.7% |
| 2017-05-03 miss | 0.53 | 0.52 | -1.9% | -2.6% | -6.6% | +2.9% | +8.9% |
| 2017-02-08 miss | 0.56 | 0.54 | -4.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -0.6% | -3.9% |
| 2016-10-31 beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +2.2% | +0.0% | -12.5% | -12.3% | -11.5% |
| 2016-08-03 beat | 0.59 | 0.63 | +6.0% | -2.7% | -0.9% | +0.6% | -7.6% |
| 2016-05-04 beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +4.6% | -5.1% | -8.9% | +0.9% | -3.7% |
| 2016-02-10 beat | 0.65 | 0.80 | +23.6% | +6.1% | +11.0% | +8.9% | +17.1% |
| 2015-11-04 beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +0.8% | +0.8% | +2.5% | -2.5% | -5.5% |
| 2015-08-05 miss | 0.60 | 0.55 | -8.7% | -3.6% | -2.2% | +0.1% | -6.3% |
| 2015-05-05 beat | 0.58 | 0.67 | +14.9% | +0.5% | -2.8% | -0.5% | -6.8% |
| 2015-02-11 miss | 0.63 | 0.60 | -4.4% | -2.4% | -3.0% | -5.8% | -12.2% |
| 2014-11-05 beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +2.0% | -2.6% | -6.4% | +4.9% | +2.0% |
| 2014-08-06 miss | 0.64 | 0.43 | -32.3% | +0.6% | +0.5% | +4.0% | +4.2% |
| 2014-05-07 beat | 0.61 | 0.66 | +8.9% | +0.1% | +6.4% | +2.6% | +0.0% |
| 2014-02-12 beat | 0.59 | 0.68 | +15.4% | -0.5% | +1.9% | +1.0% | +0.2% |
| 2013-11-06 beat | 0.63 | 0.63 | +0.4% | -2.6% | -6.1% | +0.1% | -0.9% |
| 2013-08-07 beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +3.6% | -2.9% | -5.6% | -2.6% | -6.8% |
| 2013-05-08 beat | 0.68 | 0.76 | +11.1% | +1.9% | -0.2% | +0.6% | -4.4% |
| 2013-02-13 miss | 0.67 | 0.67 | -0.5% | -18.5% | -22.6% | +7.3% | +6.0% |
| 2012-11-07 beat | 0.59 | 0.66 | +12.8% | +5.1% | +3.6% | -3.9% | -3.1% |
| 2012-08-08 beat | 0.61 | 0.65 | +5.8% | +1.0% | +1.2% | -1.3% | -1.6% |
| 2012-05-09 beat | 0.59 | 0.68 | +16.2% | +2.7% | +3.7% | -2.9% | -4.9% |
| 2012-02-15 miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -1.8% | -0.9% | +1.5% | +3.9% | +2.5% |
| 2011-11-02 miss | 0.34 | 0.34 | -0.7% | +4.8% | +5.9% | +2.3% | -1.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.