MAA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +1.1% | 2.4% | 73% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.0% | 1.7% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.0% | 1.6% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | +0.9% | 3.9% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.78 | 1.04 | +33.8% | -2.2% | -3.0% | +0.2% | -2.8% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.84 | 1.06 | +26.4% | +0.2% | -0.4% | +0.9% | -0.8% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 0.90 | 0.92 | +2.6% | -0.9% | -3.2% | +2.1% | +1.1% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.85 | 0.85 | +0.4% | +0.1% | +2.0% | -1.4% | +5.1% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.85 | 0.88 | +3.7% | -1.7% | -4.3% | -0.2% | +2.4% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.87 | 1.54 | +77.8% | -1.1% | +1.5% | -0.3% | -3.9% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 1.01 | 1.43 | +41.3% | +0.5% | +1.3% | -1.2% | +5.3% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.92 | 1.06 | +15.4% | +0.8% | -0.5% | +2.2% | +7.2% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.99 | 1.03 | +4.4% | +1.2% | +4.8% | +4.5% | +10.9% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.00 | 1.03 | +2.0% | -0.5% | +0.8% | +3.5% | +1.5% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 1.08 | 1.14 | +6.1% | +0.0% | -0.6% | +4.0% | +8.4% |
| 2023-10-25 miss | 1.10 | 1.09 | -0.5% | -0.3% | -4.4% | -0.8% | +0.3% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 1.12 | 1.24 | +11.0% | +0.0% | -2.3% | -2.4% | -3.2% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 1.17 | 1.13 | -3.2% | +1.3% | +2.7% | -1.2% | -3.5% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 1.70 | 1.87 | +10.3% | +0.4% | +3.4% | -1.5% | -8.2% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 1.62 | 1.05 | -35.4% | +2.4% | +1.6% | -1.3% | +2.7% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 1.50 | 2.02 | +34.7% | -0.7% | +4.5% | -2.8% | -5.5% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | 0.91 | 0.86 | -5.8% | +0.3% | +1.8% | -9.6% | -10.8% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 0.86 | 1.49 | +74.5% | +0.0% | +0.5% | -0.7% | -0.5% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +1.1% | +0.0% | +1.1% | -2.8% | +1.8% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 0.58 | 1.72 | +194.4% | +1.1% | +2.8% | -0.8% | -2.0% |
| 2021-04-28 miss | 0.55 | 0.40 | -26.8% | +0.3% | +0.9% | +0.4% | +3.4% |
| 2021-02-03 miss | 0.60 | 0.56 | -6.1% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +2.3% | -0.5% |
| 2020-10-28 miss | 0.56 | 0.50 | -10.8% | +0.0% | +1.0% | +9.2% | +11.1% |
| 2020-07-29 miss | 0.55 | 0.53 | -3.7% | -1.1% | +3.2% | -0.9% | -0.3% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | 0.59 | 0.57 | -4.2% | +0.7% | +3.4% | -7.2% | +11.2% |
| 2020-01-29 miss | 0.65 | 0.57 | -12.0% | +0.2% | +0.7% | +2.1% | -1.5% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 0.56 | 0.67 | +20.5% | +0.1% | +1.6% | -2.7% | -3.8% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 0.53 | 0.53 | +0.6% | +0.3% | +2.5% | +1.9% | +4.9% |
| 2019-05-01 miss | 0.49 | 0.46 | -6.2% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +4.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.