MAR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.8% | 4.3% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.4% | 1.7% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.6% | 2.4% | 30% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | +0.1% | 5.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 beat | 3.08 | 3.19 | +3.6% | -3.6% | -7.0% | +0.5% | -3.5% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 2.55 | 2.72 | +6.5% | +2.6% | +1.3% | -2.5% | +9.3% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | 2.62 | 2.58 | -1.5% | +5.6% | +8.5% | -0.9% | -12.0% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 2.39 | 2.47 | +3.5% | +0.2% | +3.2% | +7.2% | +8.7% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 2.62 | 2.65 | +1.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +2.0% | +3.5% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 2.25 | 2.32 | +3.0% | +3.6% | +1.9% | +8.8% | +3.1% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 2.38 | 2.45 | +2.7% | -4.3% | -5.4% | -0.2% | -17.6% |
| 2024-11-04 miss | 2.31 | 2.26 | -2.0% | -2.0% | -1.6% | +11.5% | +12.9% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 2.48 | 2.50 | +1.0% | -3.7% | -4.8% | -5.5% | +1.8% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | 2.16 | 2.13 | -1.6% | -1.0% | -1.0% | +0.6% | -1.2% |
| 2024-02-13 beat | 2.12 | 3.57 | +68.2% | -2.8% | -5.6% | +3.6% | +5.6% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 2.10 | 2.11 | +0.3% | -2.4% | -1.6% | +4.7% | +12.9% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 2.17 | 2.26 | +4.0% | -1.1% | +1.5% | +0.8% | +0.3% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 1.85 | 2.09 | +13.1% | +2.1% | +5.0% | +0.2% | -4.2% |
| 2023-02-14 beat | 1.82 | 1.96 | +7.5% | +0.8% | +4.0% | -5.9% | -11.1% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 1.68 | 1.69 | +0.7% | -2.1% | -4.3% | +7.9% | +10.6% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 1.57 | 1.80 | +14.4% | +1.6% | -0.8% | +0.3% | -2.8% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.92 | 1.25 | +35.8% | +1.7% | +4.7% | -7.9% | -3.6% |
| 2022-02-15 beat | 1.00 | 1.30 | +30.2% | +2.7% | +5.8% | -7.3% | -5.5% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.99 | 0.99 | +0.4% | +0.4% | +2.8% | -2.2% | -8.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.