MAR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | +0.0% | 3.4% | 48% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 2.5% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 45% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +0.7% | 5.6% | 52% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 beat | 3.08 | 3.19 | +3.6% | -3.6% | -7.0% | +0.5% | -3.5% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 2.55 | 2.72 | +6.5% | +2.6% | +1.3% | -2.5% | +9.3% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | 2.62 | 2.58 | -1.5% | +5.6% | +8.5% | -0.9% | -12.0% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 2.39 | 2.47 | +3.5% | +0.2% | +3.2% | +7.2% | +8.7% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 2.62 | 2.65 | +1.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +2.0% | +3.5% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 2.25 | 2.32 | +3.0% | +3.6% | +1.9% | +8.8% | +3.1% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 2.38 | 2.45 | +2.7% | -4.3% | -5.4% | -0.2% | -17.6% |
| 2024-11-04 miss | 2.31 | 2.26 | -2.0% | -2.0% | -1.6% | +11.5% | +12.9% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 2.48 | 2.50 | +1.0% | -3.7% | -4.8% | -5.5% | +1.8% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | 2.16 | 2.13 | -1.6% | -1.0% | -1.0% | +0.6% | -1.2% |
| 2024-02-13 beat | 2.12 | 3.57 | +68.2% | -2.8% | -5.6% | +3.6% | +5.6% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 2.10 | 2.11 | +0.3% | -2.4% | -1.6% | +4.7% | +12.9% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 2.17 | 2.26 | +4.0% | -1.1% | +1.5% | +0.8% | +0.3% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 1.85 | 2.09 | +13.1% | +2.1% | +5.0% | +0.2% | -4.2% |
| 2023-02-14 beat | 1.82 | 1.96 | +7.5% | +0.8% | +4.0% | -5.9% | -11.1% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 1.68 | 1.69 | +0.7% | -2.1% | -4.3% | +7.9% | +10.6% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 1.57 | 1.80 | +14.4% | +1.6% | -0.8% | +0.3% | -2.8% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.92 | 1.25 | +35.8% | +1.7% | +4.7% | -7.9% | -3.6% |
| 2022-02-15 beat | 1.00 | 1.30 | +30.2% | +2.7% | +5.8% | -7.3% | -5.5% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.99 | 0.99 | +0.4% | +0.4% | +2.8% | -2.2% | -8.8% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 0.46 | 0.79 | +70.6% | +0.5% | -1.5% | -3.3% | -5.5% |
| 2021-05-10 beat | 0.03 | 0.10 | +198.1% | -1.2% | -4.1% | -0.6% | +2.2% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +25.2% | -2.3% | +0.5% | +13.7% | +15.4% |
| 2020-11-06 beat | -0.08 | 0.06 | +174.4% | +1.1% | +3.0% | +15.5% | +27.6% |
| 2020-08-10 miss | -0.41 | -0.64 | -57.1% | +0.5% | +3.6% | -1.5% | +5.0% |
| 2020-05-11 miss | 0.78 | 0.26 | -66.8% | -3.3% | -5.6% | +13.7% | +24.7% |
| 2020-02-26 beat | 1.47 | 1.57 | +7.1% | -2.7% | -0.5% | -7.9% | -34.1% |
| 2019-11-04 miss | 1.50 | 1.47 | -2.1% | -1.7% | +2.7% | -0.9% | +4.9% |
| 2019-08-05 miss | 1.56 | 1.56 | -0.1% | -2.9% | -1.4% | +3.1% | +0.0% |
| 2019-05-10 beat | 1.34 | 1.41 | +5.0% | -3.4% | -2.8% | -0.6% | +2.1% |
| 2019-02-28 beat | 1.40 | 1.44 | +2.8% | +0.2% | -0.7% | -3.0% | +2.4% |
| 2018-11-05 beat | 1.31 | 1.44 | +9.8% | -4.7% | -5.1% | +1.7% | -2.9% |
| 2018-08-06 beat | 1.36 | 1.47 | +8.1% | -3.1% | -3.8% | -2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2018-05-08 beat | 1.22 | 1.34 | +9.5% | -0.6% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +0.3% |
| 2018-02-14 beat | 1.00 | 1.12 | +11.5% | -2.1% | -2.7% | +0.6% | -1.0% |
| 2017-11-07 beat | 0.99 | 1.10 | +11.6% | +0.1% | -0.8% | +1.9% | +7.8% |
| 2017-08-07 beat | 1.02 | 1.13 | +10.4% | -4.9% | -2.1% | -3.4% | -2.1% |
| 2017-05-08 beat | 0.91 | 1.01 | +10.8% | +5.0% | +6.4% | +1.5% | +2.5% |
| 2017-02-15 beat | 0.84 | 0.85 | +0.8% | -0.4% | +0.0% | -2.6% | -0.8% |
| 2016-11-07 beat | 0.88 | 0.91 | +3.4% | -1.5% | +2.7% | +6.4% | +14.3% |
| 2016-07-27 beat | 0.98 | 1.03 | +5.5% | -1.4% | +1.4% | +1.0% | +1.8% |
| 2016-04-27 beat | 0.84 | 0.87 | +3.8% | -1.5% | +0.8% | +0.0% | -4.2% |
| 2016-02-17 miss | 0.76 | 0.75 | -1.4% | -3.9% | -2.6% | +5.2% | +12.7% |
| 2015-10-28 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +5.0% | -3.2% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -7.9% |
| 2015-07-29 beat | 0.81 | 0.82 | +0.7% | -1.3% | -5.7% | -2.4% | -1.5% |
| 2015-04-29 beat | 0.70 | 0.76 | +9.0% | -1.9% | -4.6% | -2.0% | -2.6% |
| 2015-02-18 beat | 0.65 | 0.68 | +4.5% | +2.9% | +2.0% | +0.1% | +1.1% |
| 2014-10-28 beat | 0.62 | 0.67 | +8.8% | +2.8% | +2.9% | +1.2% | +6.4% |
| 2014-07-29 beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +6.1% | +0.8% | -0.4% | -1.4% | +5.5% |
| 2014-04-29 beat | 0.51 | 0.54 | +6.5% | +1.2% | +2.3% | +0.3% | +6.4% |
| 2014-02-19 miss | 0.49 | 0.49 | -0.9% | -1.9% | +0.5% | +4.0% | +6.7% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | 0.45 | 0.52 | +16.2% | +1.0% | +2.0% | +0.8% | +3.1% |
| 2013-07-31 beat | 0.57 | 0.57 | +0.1% | -1.5% | +0.0% | -0.2% | -3.8% |
| 2013-05-01 beat | 0.41 | 0.43 | +6.1% | +0.2% | +0.8% | +0.9% | -1.5% |
| 2013-02-19 beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +1.7% | -2.4% | -2.7% | -1.1% | -0.3% |
| 2012-10-03 beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +10.0% | +2.3% | -0.2% | -2.0% | -5.6% |
| 2012-07-11 beat | 0.42 | 0.42 | +0.6% | -2.3% | -6.4% | +4.8% | +3.8% |
| 2012-04-18 beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +4.6% | +2.5% | +4.3% | +0.8% | -6.6% |
| 2012-02-15 miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -1.5% | -1.0% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +9.4% |
| 2011-10-05 beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +7.1% | +0.8% | +2.1% | +4.8% | +9.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.