MAS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +0.6% | 5.0% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.6% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 1.6% | 47% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.8% | 5.4% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.31 | 1.64 | +25.1% | -7.1% | -11.1% | +6.6% | +0.3% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 0.88 | 1.04 | +18.6% | +11.1% | +10.8% | -3.7% | -9.2% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 0.79 | 0.82 | +3.2% | +7.8% | +8.7% | -1.4% | -22.1% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 1.03 | 0.97 | -5.7% | -5.7% | -4.7% | -2.8% | -0.5% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.08 | 1.30 | +20.7% | +9.0% | +3.7% | +1.8% | +7.7% |
| 2025-04-23 miss | 0.91 | 0.87 | -4.8% | -4.0% | -3.4% | +2.2% | +5.7% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 0.87 | 0.89 | +1.9% | +0.6% | +1.4% | -2.5% | -12.0% |
| 2024-10-29 miss | 1.09 | 1.08 | -1.0% | -1.1% | -0.5% | +0.6% | -1.1% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 1.18 | 1.20 | +1.9% | +2.0% | +7.5% | +0.5% | +6.4% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.88 | 0.93 | +5.2% | -4.1% | -4.5% | -1.7% | -1.4% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.66 | 0.83 | +26.5% | +5.4% | +4.1% | +0.2% | +2.5% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.92 | 1.00 | +9.3% | +7.5% | +6.6% | +4.5% | +16.0% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.96 | 1.19 | +23.6% | +1.4% | +0.6% | -4.3% | -8.6% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 0.63 | 0.87 | +38.3% | +4.9% | +1.2% | +5.7% | -1.2% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 0.68 | 0.65 | -4.7% | -3.0% | -0.2% | +3.4% | -6.9% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 1.06 | 0.98 | -7.6% | -12.4% | -5.7% | -3.2% | +11.8% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | 1.18 | 1.14 | -3.3% | +0.4% | +2.5% | -4.3% | -7.7% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 0.85 | 0.95 | +12.2% | +2.8% | +4.1% | +1.7% | +4.0% |
| 2022-02-08 miss | 0.69 | 0.67 | -2.4% | -1.8% | -1.9% | -1.9% | -9.0% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.88 | 0.99 | +12.4% | +2.7% | +5.2% | -0.2% | +4.4% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 1.03 | 1.14 | +10.3% | +1.2% | -1.7% | +3.1% | +5.7% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 0.66 | 0.89 | +34.5% | +2.4% | +0.7% | +2.4% | -5.5% |
| 2021-02-09 beat | 0.74 | 0.75 | +0.9% | -2.7% | -1.8% | -3.7% | +1.4% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 0.78 | 1.04 | +33.2% | -0.6% | +0.4% | +6.6% | +0.9% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.69 | 0.84 | +21.1% | -2.2% | +1.2% | +0.7% | +2.6% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | 0.35 | 0.46 | +29.6% | +4.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | +12.4% |
| 2020-02-11 beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +1.0% | -6.7% | -4.3% | -5.3% | -21.4% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 0.66 | 0.68 | +3.5% | +0.8% | +3.5% | -0.2% | +0.7% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.81 | 0.88 | +8.1% | +4.6% | +8.1% | -7.6% | -8.8% |
| 2019-04-25 miss | 0.47 | 0.44 | -7.0% | -2.2% | -6.2% | +6.0% | -0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.