MATX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.6% | +1.5% | 7.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | -0.2% | 2.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.9% | 2.0% | 65% |
| 5-day | +3.1% | +0.6% | 8.8% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 beat | 3.82 | 4.27 | +11.8% | +9.9% | +2.9% | -4.2% | +2.2% |
| 2026-05-04 beat | 1.61 | 1.85 | +15.1% | -1.0% | +9.6% | -4.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 3.69 | 4.60 | +24.8% | +6.3% | +1.8% | -1.6% | -4.0% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 3.25 | 4.24 | +30.3% | +5.0% | +12.0% | +0.3% | +6.0% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 2.28 | 2.92 | +28.1% | +7.2% | +1.2% | -0.6% | -5.4% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | 2.27 | 2.18 | -3.8% | -10.0% | -15.4% | +26.3% | +20.4% |
| 2025-02-24 beat | 3.20 | 3.80 | +18.8% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -4.2% | -6.0% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 4.75 | 5.89 | +24.1% | +4.9% | +15.9% | +4.2% | +0.8% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 3.00 | 3.31 | +10.2% | +4.8% | +2.3% | -1.7% | +2.4% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 1.00 | 1.04 | +4.0% | -4.9% | -2.1% | +6.0% | +21.5% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 1.74 | 1.78 | +2.6% | -2.9% | -1.2% | -5.5% | -5.1% |
| 2023-10-30 beat | 3.35 | 3.40 | +1.6% | -2.7% | -3.7% | +3.5% | +10.0% |
| 2023-08-01 | 2.26 | 2.26 | — | -3.0% | +0.5% | -0.1% | -7.0% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.76 | 0.94 | +24.2% | +5.2% | +6.4% | -3.3% | +9.6% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 1.96 | 2.10 | +7.0% | -2.6% | -1.2% | +4.5% | -8.1% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 6.74 | 6.89 | +2.2% | -1.1% | -5.2% | +6.1% | -8.7% |
| 2022-08-01 beat | 9.38 | 9.49 | +1.2% | -5.8% | -8.7% | -1.1% | -11.6% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 8.13 | 8.23 | +1.2% | +1.1% | +2.8% | -8.4% | -0.9% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 6.81 | 9.39 | +37.9% | +1.8% | +11.2% | +14.0% | +24.0% |
| 2021-11-03 | 6.53 | 6.53 | — | +1.5% | +3.5% | +3.3% | -5.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.