MCD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | -0.1% | 2.8% | 48% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 1.3% | 37% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 0.8% | 37% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +1.1% | 3.7% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 3.32 | 3.38 | +1.8% | +1.9% | +1.2% | +2.2% | -2.8% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 2.74 | 2.83 | +3.1% | +1.3% | -0.1% | -3.1% | -2.1% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 3.05 | 3.12 | +2.2% | +2.0% | +2.7% | -0.9% | -1.6% |
| 2025-11-05 miss | 3.33 | 3.22 | -3.4% | +0.1% | +2.2% | +0.4% | +1.8% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 3.15 | 3.19 | +1.4% | +2.8% | +3.0% | -0.8% | +2.2% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 2.67 | 2.67 | -0.0% | -2.0% | -1.9% | +0.0% | -0.3% |
| 2025-02-10 miss | 2.86 | 2.83 | -1.0% | +2.7% | +4.8% | -1.2% | -2.9% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 3.20 | 3.23 | +0.9% | +0.3% | -0.6% | +0.8% | +0.0% |
| 2024-07-29 miss | 3.07 | 2.97 | -3.2% | +0.6% | +3.7% | +2.7% | +10.8% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 2.73 | 2.70 | -0.9% | -3.4% | -0.2% | -2.0% | -7.7% |
| 2024-02-05 beat | 2.83 | 2.95 | +4.4% | -3.4% | -3.7% | +1.2% | +2.4% |
| 2023-10-30 beat | 2.99 | 3.19 | +6.5% | +1.7% | +1.7% | +3.4% | +7.8% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 2.79 | 3.17 | +13.7% | +0.1% | +1.2% | -1.4% | -3.6% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 2.34 | 2.63 | +12.6% | +0.6% | -0.6% | +2.3% | -1.9% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 2.46 | 2.59 | +5.2% | -2.1% | -1.3% | +0.0% | +0.1% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 2.58 | 2.68 | +3.9% | +2.5% | +3.3% | +3.0% | +2.9% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 2.47 | 2.55 | +3.4% | -0.3% | +2.7% | +1.5% | +1.5% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 2.18 | 2.28 | +4.7% | +1.1% | +2.9% | -2.1% | -0.9% |
| 2022-01-27 miss | 2.34 | 2.23 | -4.8% | -0.1% | -0.4% | +4.8% | -1.6% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 2.47 | 2.76 | +11.9% | +2.0% | +2.7% | +3.2% | +3.0% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 2.12 | 2.37 | +11.8% | -1.6% | -1.9% | -2.9% | -2.0% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 1.82 | 1.92 | +5.3% | +0.7% | +1.2% | -0.1% | -0.6% |
| 2021-01-28 miss | 1.78 | 1.70 | -4.5% | +0.8% | -0.1% | +2.0% | +0.7% |
| 2020-11-09 beat | 1.90 | 2.22 | +16.9% | +4.7% | -1.5% | +1.6% | -2.1% |
| 2020-07-28 miss | 0.75 | 0.66 | -12.4% | -1.3% | -2.5% | +1.6% | +8.9% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | 1.54 | 1.47 | -4.8% | -3.1% | -0.1% | -3.4% | -0.1% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 1.97 | 1.97 | +0.0% | +0.6% | +1.9% | +0.0% | -9.5% |
| 2019-10-22 miss | 2.21 | 2.11 | -4.4% | -2.3% | -5.0% | -3.3% | -2.6% |
| 2019-07-26 miss | 2.05 | 2.05 | -0.1% | +1.6% | +0.5% | -0.5% | +0.6% |
| 2019-04-30 miss | 1.76 | 1.72 | -2.4% | +0.9% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.8% |
| 2019-01-30 beat | 1.89 | 1.97 | +4.1% | +0.4% | -0.2% | -3.1% | +1.8% |
| 2018-10-23 beat | 1.99 | 2.10 | +5.4% | +2.7% | +6.3% | +0.8% | +3.1% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 1.93 | 1.99 | +3.3% | -0.4% | -1.7% | -0.5% | +2.1% |
| 2018-04-30 beat | 1.67 | 1.79 | +7.2% | +4.0% | +5.8% | -1.5% | -3.4% |
| 2018-01-30 beat | 1.59 | 1.71 | +7.5% | -0.4% | -3.0% | -4.2% | -9.7% |
| 2017-10-24 miss | 1.77 | 1.76 | -0.3% | +1.2% | +0.3% | +1.8% | +3.2% |
| 2017-07-25 beat | 1.62 | 1.73 | +7.0% | +3.9% | +4.8% | -3.2% | -0.2% |
| 2017-04-25 beat | 1.33 | 1.47 | +10.1% | +2.9% | +5.6% | -0.3% | +5.5% |
| 2017-01-23 beat | 1.41 | 1.43 | +0.8% | -0.5% | -0.7% | +1.4% | +5.3% |
| 2016-10-21 beat | 1.48 | 1.62 | +9.3% | +2.4% | +3.0% | -1.6% | +4.9% |
| 2016-07-26 beat | 1.38 | 1.45 | +4.9% | -3.1% | -4.5% | -3.3% | -5.6% |
| 2016-04-22 beat | 1.16 | 1.23 | +5.6% | +1.9% | -0.2% | +0.8% | -2.1% |
| 2016-01-25 beat | 1.23 | 1.28 | +4.0% | +2.9% | +0.7% | +4.5% | -1.8% |
| 2015-10-22 beat | 1.28 | 1.40 | +9.8% | +7.7% | +8.1% | +1.6% | +2.7% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 1.23 | 1.29 | +4.5% | +1.4% | -0.5% | +2.1% | +0.0% |
| 2015-04-22 miss | 1.06 | 1.01 | -4.6% | +2.2% | +3.1% | -0.8% | +1.5% |
| 2015-01-23 miss | 1.22 | 1.17 | -4.4% | +0.0% | -1.5% | +3.2% | +6.1% |
| 2014-10-21 miss | 1.37 | 1.35 | -1.7% | -1.8% | -0.6% | +1.7% | +6.1% |
| 2014-07-22 miss | 1.44 | 1.40 | -2.6% | -2.2% | -1.3% | -0.5% | -2.2% |
| 2014-04-22 miss | 1.24 | 1.21 | -2.3% | +0.4% | -0.4% | +2.2% | +3.3% |
| 2014-01-23 beat | 1.39 | 1.40 | +0.5% | -0.3% | +0.5% | -1.6% | +1.2% |
| 2013-10-21 beat | 1.51 | 1.52 | +0.9% | -1.6% | -0.6% | +0.8% | +3.6% |
| 2013-07-22 miss | 1.40 | 1.38 | -1.7% | -2.5% | -2.7% | +0.3% | -2.1% |
| 2013-04-19 miss | 1.26 | 1.26 | -0.1% | -1.3% | -2.0% | +1.0% | +1.6% |
| 2013-01-23 beat | 1.33 | 1.38 | +3.8% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +1.9% |
| 2012-10-19 miss | 1.47 | 1.43 | -2.9% | -3.0% | -4.5% | -2.3% | -3.1% |
| 2012-07-23 miss | 1.38 | 1.32 | -4.2% | -2.6% | -2.9% | +0.4% | -0.5% |
| 2012-04-20 beat | 1.23 | 1.23 | +0.1% | +1.7% | +0.7% | +1.5% | -4.9% |
| 2012-01-24 beat | 1.30 | 1.33 | +2.6% | +0.1% | -2.2% | +0.3% | +2.1% |
| 2011-10-21 beat | 1.42 | 1.45 | +1.8% | +2.5% | +3.7% | +1.1% | +0.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.