MDU chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | +0.0% | 4.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 1.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.4% | 1.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | +0.1% | 4.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.09 | 0.09 | +3.3% | +0.7% | +3.7% | -2.3% | -5.7% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 0.40 | 0.39 | -2.4% | -3.9% | +0.7% | +0.4% | -6.1% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.7% | -0.4% | -4.1% | +3.2% | +5.9% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -15.9% | +1.6% | +4.7% | +0.0% | -6.2% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.13 | 0.07 | -44.5% | -1.9% | -6.7% | +1.9% | -1.3% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.36 | 0.40 | +10.2% | +0.9% | -0.6% | -1.5% | -3.8% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.34 | 0.34 | +1.2% | -4.2% | -5.9% | -0.2% | -0.3% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.21 | 0.32 | +53.2% | +0.6% | +3.3% | +2.2% | +9.0% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.21 | 0.32 | +49.0% | +0.6% | -1.8% | -2.6% | +0.0% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.47 | 0.52 | +11.5% | +1.9% | +0.9% | +1.9% | -0.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.