MELI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.7% | +3.1% | 10.7% | 63% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.3% | 3.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 3.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | +4.0% | +2.4% | 12.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 8.89 | 9.19 | +3.4% | -5.0% | -4.8% | -0.1% | +8.1% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 8.47 | 8.23 | -2.9% | -9.9% | -12.7% | -5.3% | +0.5% |
| 2026-02-24 miss | 11.43 | 11.03 | -3.5% | -8.4% | -8.1% | +0.1% | -7.7% |
| 2025-10-28 miss | 9.37 | 8.32 | -11.2% | -0.3% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -9.8% |
| 2025-08-04 miss | 11.75 | 10.31 | -12.2% | -2.8% | +0.5% | -2.4% | +0.4% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 7.99 | 9.74 | +21.9% | +9.2% | +6.5% | +7.3% | +1.6% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 7.56 | 12.61 | +66.8% | +11.5% | +7.1% | -6.1% | -5.6% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | 9.85 | 7.83 | -20.5% | -9.3% | -16.2% | +5.8% | +4.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 8.34 | 10.48 | +25.7% | +5.9% | +10.6% | +6.1% | +12.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 5.72 | 6.78 | +18.6% | +7.6% | +8.3% | +3.9% | +0.0% |
| 2024-02-22 miss | 6.96 | 3.25 | -53.3% | -8.1% | -10.4% | -1.0% | -4.9% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 5.68 | 7.16 | +26.1% | +3.8% | +1.5% | +1.7% | +21.2% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 4.28 | 5.16 | +20.5% | +5.2% | +13.6% | +4.8% | +7.4% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 3.31 | 3.97 | +20.0% | +3.6% | -5.2% | +6.9% | +6.3% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 2.62 | 3.25 | +24.2% | +2.4% | +1.8% | +6.0% | +3.0% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 2.43 | 2.56 | +5.2% | +8.8% | +7.8% | +3.9% | -8.0% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 1.93 | 2.43 | +26.1% | +11.6% | +16.2% | -0.2% | -17.3% |
| 2022-05-06 miss | 1.41 | 1.30 | -7.6% | -3.7% | -16.9% | +2.2% | +7.0% |
| 2022-02-22 miss | 1.17 | -0.92 | -178.5% | +11.8% | +3.7% | +23.9% | +34.3% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 1.31 | 1.92 | +46.4% | +6.2% | +4.7% | -2.0% | -27.7% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.19 | 1.37 | +637.1% | +6.6% | +13.8% | +3.2% | +9.0% |
| 2021-05-05 miss | -0.04 | -0.68 | -1825.8% | +1.4% | -5.5% | -10.3% | -8.4% |
| 2021-03-01 miss | 0.19 | -1.02 | -629.2% | -0.8% | -4.1% | -11.6% | -10.4% |
| 2020-11-04 miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -2.2% | +6.8% | +9.3% | -9.9% | +9.6% |
| 2020-08-10 beat | 0.16 | 1.11 | +593.8% | +6.1% | -5.8% | +5.8% | -6.0% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | -0.57 | -0.44 | +23.0% | +18.2% | +19.6% | +3.5% | +16.7% |
| 2020-02-10 miss | -0.79 | -1.11 | -40.2% | -3.8% | -1.0% | +14.0% | -23.0% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | -0.07 | -2.96 | -3908.1% | -0.3% | -6.0% | +0.9% | +17.4% |
| 2019-08-07 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -3.8% | +5.1% | +12.2% | -10.9% | -17.0% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | -0.18 | 0.13 | +174.1% | +12.3% | +20.0% | -3.6% | -4.7% |
| 2019-02-26 beat | -0.09 | -0.05 | +46.3% | +10.4% | +20.9% | +3.3% | +11.3% |
| 2018-11-01 miss | -0.10 | -0.23 | -135.6% | +1.9% | +3.7% | -8.1% | +0.1% |
| 2018-08-08 beat | -0.28 | -0.25 | +10.7% | -1.9% | +11.6% | -12.9% | -16.9% |
| 2018-05-09 miss | 0.44 | -0.29 | -165.4% | -4.7% | -2.7% | -5.6% | -6.0% |
| 2018-02-22 miss | 0.55 | 0.41 | -25.7% | -2.6% | +4.8% | +0.4% | -8.7% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +2.2% | +8.6% | +13.3% | +1.3% | +1.3% |
| 2017-08-03 miss | 1.06 | 0.61 | -42.2% | -10.3% | -10.9% | -7.8% | -1.5% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | 0.87 | 1.10 | +26.9% | +8.4% | +16.3% | +4.4% | +1.8% |
| 2017-02-23 beat | 0.95 | 1.16 | +21.7% | +0.6% | +4.0% | +2.4% | +1.8% |
| 2016-11-03 beat | 0.82 | 0.88 | +6.7% | +3.7% | +0.6% | -6.5% | -5.6% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | 0.60 | 0.74 | +22.5% | +2.7% | +13.6% | -2.4% | +7.7% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | 0.57 | 0.68 | +18.4% | +4.4% | +2.5% | -0.4% | +8.3% |
| 2016-02-25 beat | 0.74 | 0.88 | +19.2% | +1.6% | -4.9% | +11.6% | +21.2% |
| 2015-11-04 beat | 0.63 | 0.75 | +19.7% | +10.9% | +8.8% | +3.5% | +2.9% |
| 2015-08-05 miss | 0.65 | 0.44 | -32.3% | -5.0% | -8.3% | -0.6% | -10.6% |
| 2015-05-06 beat | 0.63 | 0.78 | +23.3% | +1.0% | -2.3% | +1.2% | -1.7% |
| 2015-02-25 miss | 0.76 | 0.76 | -0.4% | +2.8% | -2.4% | +0.8% | -6.2% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | 0.66 | 0.76 | +14.4% | +16.3% | +18.2% | -1.0% | +3.0% |
| 2014-08-07 beat | 0.56 | 0.72 | +28.5% | +10.0% | +14.5% | +3.8% | +11.1% |
| 2014-05-08 beat | 0.56 | 0.63 | +12.2% | +6.9% | +1.6% | +0.5% | +6.0% |
| 2014-02-27 beat | 0.77 | 0.93 | +20.2% | +15.2% | +10.6% | -2.9% | -8.7% |
| 2013-11-05 miss | 0.74 | 0.66 | -10.2% | -10.9% | -10.0% | -7.4% | -12.0% |
| 2013-08-01 beat | 0.62 | 0.67 | +7.6% | +9.4% | +5.7% | -3.7% | -5.5% |
| 2013-05-06 miss | 0.55 | 0.40 | -27.1% | +9.7% | +17.9% | -2.1% | -4.3% |
| 2013-02-25 beat | 0.61 | 0.69 | +12.3% | +0.5% | -0.6% | +4.2% | +14.0% |
| 2012-11-01 miss | 0.60 | 0.59 | -1.4% | -5.6% | -8.6% | -3.3% | -7.4% |
| 2012-08-02 beat | 0.48 | 0.57 | +17.7% | +18.5% | +24.3% | +3.8% | -2.4% |
| 2012-05-08 miss | 0.46 | 0.45 | -0.9% | -10.2% | -12.4% | -1.3% | -7.2% |
| 2012-02-23 miss | 0.51 | 0.47 | -7.1% | -2.4% | +1.8% | +1.2% | +3.1% |
| 2011-11-02 beat | 0.43 | 0.60 | +40.2% | +20.8% | +30.9% | +2.9% | +9.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.