MGM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | -1.2% | 8.4% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -1.1% | 2.8% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -1.1% | -0.4% | 1.7% | 20% |
| 5-day | -3.0% | -2.8% | 5.9% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +1.9% | +0.3% | -0.4% | -2.1% | -7.4% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 0.53 | 0.49 | -7.8% | +1.0% | -0.8% | -2.1% | +30.2% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.55 | 1.60 | +189.6% | -0.1% | +3.3% | -8.9% | -6.6% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 0.30 | 0.24 | -19.9% | -6.3% | -1.6% | +3.3% | +15.4% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.55 | 0.79 | +44.0% | -3.1% | -3.8% | -4.8% | +8.9% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.45 | 0.69 | +54.3% | +5.0% | -1.9% | +4.4% | +1.0% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.34 | 0.45 | +33.0% | +12.2% | +17.5% | -10.8% | -19.7% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.61 | 0.54 | -11.0% | -6.4% | -11.0% | +2.2% | +3.9% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.59 | 0.86 | +46.3% | -6.8% | -13.2% | +0.5% | +0.8% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.58 | 0.74 | +28.6% | +9.4% | +2.8% | +0.0% | -1.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.