MGPI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.8% | +0.9% | 10.3% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.6% | 3.3% | 43% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.2% | 2.4% | 53% |
| 5-day | -2.2% | +0.8% | 10.2% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.50 | 0.72 | +43.3% | +6.9% | +0.9% | -6.3% | -13.8% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.04 | 0.15 | +316.7% | -4.2% | -5.2% | +0.8% | -7.9% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.50 | 0.63 | +26.0% | -16.1% | -21.2% | -8.1% | -9.6% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.60 | 0.85 | +40.9% | +8.4% | +4.3% | +1.5% | -7.6% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.66 | 0.97 | +47.3% | +2.4% | -3.7% | -1.1% | +4.6% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -3.7% | +3.0% | +4.8% | +6.7% | -5.4% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 1.50 | 1.57 | +4.4% | -3.4% | -1.1% | +3.8% | -8.1% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.23 | 1.29 | +4.6% | +2.8% | -14.7% | +2.1% | -4.7% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.54 | 1.71 | +10.9% | +1.5% | +5.6% | -2.0% | +4.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.99 | 1.07 | +8.3% | +1.5% | +5.1% | +1.9% | -7.6% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 1.35 | 1.64 | +21.1% | -1.4% | -14.9% | +9.0% | +6.6% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.30 | 1.34 | +3.0% | +4.5% | +3.4% | -2.4% | -6.0% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 1.25 | 1.49 | +19.2% | +1.8% | +7.5% | +1.7% | -1.8% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 1.10 | 1.39 | +26.0% | +0.2% | +5.4% | -0.9% | -2.5% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 0.85 | 1.01 | +18.6% | +4.0% | +10.5% | -5.9% | -11.1% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.95 | 1.06 | +11.6% | +3.2% | +5.8% | +3.8% | +5.7% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.94 | 1.15 | +22.6% | +1.5% | +5.0% | +1.4% | -1.4% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.96 | 1.69 | +77.0% | +3.4% | +1.0% | -0.4% | -0.1% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.63 | 0.87 | +37.4% | -3.4% | +3.9% | +2.3% | +7.6% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.40 | 1.09 | +172.5% | +4.6% | +12.4% | -7.6% | +10.1% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.59 | 1.27 | +115.2% | +8.4% | +11.3% | -2.3% | +3.6% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 0.57 | 1.01 | +76.2% | -0.1% | +0.5% | +1.6% | +19.7% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 0.62 | 0.75 | +21.5% | +1.5% | -4.4% | -7.4% | -8.2% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.55 | 0.61 | +11.4% | -1.2% | +6.9% | -7.4% | +1.5% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.48 | 0.54 | +12.5% | -3.5% | -5.9% | -3.5% | -0.6% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.35 | 0.61 | +74.3% | +6.3% | -8.0% | -2.8% | -2.5% |
| 2020-02-26 beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +7.0% | +3.5% | -10.6% | +4.3% | -7.1% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | 0.65 | 0.48 | -25.6% | -7.2% | -11.5% | +4.9% | +5.1% |
| 2019-07-31 miss | 0.52 | 0.46 | -11.5% | -9.1% | -25.5% | +3.0% | -4.0% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 0.50 | 0.57 | +14.0% | -14.6% | -22.9% | +0.8% | -11.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.