MGRC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.8% | +1.7% | 5.2% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.0% | 1.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.0% | 1.7% | 45% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +2.6% | 6.7% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 1.46 | 1.32 | -9.6% | -0.7% | -1.7% | +5.9% | -2.4% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 1.13 | 1.10 | -2.5% | -4.2% | -6.9% | +3.4% | -2.7% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 1.71 | 2.03 | +18.4% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -4.5% | -4.3% |
| 2025-10-23 miss | 1.82 | 1.72 | -5.4% | -6.9% | -4.9% | -6.2% | -13.0% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 1.22 | 1.47 | +19.9% | +2.5% | +7.4% | -3.6% | -2.1% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.92 | 1.15 | +25.3% | -0.4% | -0.6% | +6.0% | +11.7% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 1.49 | 1.65 | +10.7% | -0.7% | +4.1% | -3.8% | -12.1% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 1.27 | 1.87 | +46.9% | +9.3% | +8.5% | +1.0% | +6.4% |
| 2024-07-25 miss | 1.25 | 1.20 | -4.2% | -4.7% | -4.0% | -8.1% | -2.2% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.73 | 0.93 | +27.7% | -0.1% | +2.2% | -2.4% | -1.3% |
| 2024-02-21 miss | 1.37 | 1.30 | -4.8% | -1.0% | -1.5% | -0.3% | -2.7% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.25 | 1.65 | +32.0% | +6.2% | +5.3% | +0.2% | -2.9% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 1.00 | 1.14 | +13.4% | +4.5% | +4.9% | +0.4% | +7.5% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 0.69 | 0.52 | -24.0% | +0.8% | +3.4% | +0.8% | +5.9% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 1.38 | 1.62 | +17.4% | +6.6% | +1.4% | -6.8% | -14.6% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.17 | 1.25 | +6.8% | +1.4% | +11.6% | +0.2% | +0.3% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.90 | 1.07 | +19.6% | +2.0% | +2.0% | -0.2% | -0.5% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.72 | 0.77 | +6.9% | +1.8% | -1.5% | -2.8% | -1.5% |
| 2022-02-23 beat | 1.15 | 1.16 | +1.3% | +9.1% | +10.4% | +1.2% | +8.0% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 1.22 | 0.95 | -22.1% | -4.6% | -4.1% | +9.7% | +7.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.