MHK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -1.5% | 7.6% | 37% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +0.2% | 4.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 2.3% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | +0.2% | 10.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 2.58 | 3.67 | +42.0% | +4.5% | +3.0% | +10.5% | +4.2% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.81 | 1.90 | +4.8% | +2.5% | -5.3% | +3.9% | +5.7% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 1.98 | 2.00 | +1.1% | +1.0% | -0.7% | -6.4% | -21.3% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 2.64 | 2.67 | +1.2% | -1.2% | -7.0% | -5.2% | -8.6% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 2.61 | 2.77 | +6.3% | +2.8% | +4.2% | -3.5% | +9.2% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.41 | 1.52 | +8.2% | -2.8% | -1.7% | +1.5% | -3.9% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.85 | 1.95 | +5.3% | +2.5% | -1.3% | +0.6% | -6.5% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 2.89 | 2.90 | +0.5% | -11.2% | -13.8% | +2.6% | +10.8% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 2.75 | 3.00 | +9.1% | +12.1% | +19.5% | -5.2% | -3.5% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.68 | 1.86 | +11.0% | +7.0% | +4.7% | +0.8% | +0.3% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 1.86 | 1.96 | +5.4% | -3.7% | +0.4% | +4.9% | +8.8% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 2.65 | 2.72 | +2.6% | +4.8% | -2.5% | +11.0% | +12.1% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 2.65 | 2.76 | +4.1% | -1.6% | -6.9% | -1.7% | -8.4% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 1.29 | 1.75 | +35.2% | +6.9% | +7.2% | -5.4% | -10.2% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 1.29 | 1.32 | +2.3% | +0.2% | -4.7% | -1.6% | -16.1% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 3.34 | 3.34 | -0.0% | -5.6% | -1.6% | -6.9% | +4.4% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 4.29 | 4.41 | +2.9% | -1.3% | -5.8% | -6.6% | -14.8% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 2.89 | 3.78 | +30.6% | +20.2% | +7.9% | +6.2% | +0.3% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 2.86 | 2.95 | +3.2% | +0.6% | -5.2% | +2.8% | -4.1% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 3.80 | 3.95 | +4.0% | -5.1% | -11.0% | -0.1% | -5.3% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 3.69 | 4.45 | +20.6% | -0.9% | -0.5% | +3.3% | +3.7% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 2.82 | 3.49 | +23.7% | -2.2% | -3.5% | +11.8% | -0.4% |
| 2021-02-11 beat | 2.87 | 3.54 | +23.2% | +5.2% | +6.0% | +2.6% | +8.0% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 2.14 | 3.26 | +52.1% | +13.8% | +10.9% | +16.9% | +22.8% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | -0.05 | 0.37 | +915.9% | +2.4% | -0.8% | +5.4% | +8.0% |
| 2020-05-04 miss | 1.67 | 1.66 | -0.8% | +1.5% | -3.0% | -5.6% | +31.0% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 2.20 | 2.25 | +2.2% | +0.1% | +4.0% | -6.7% | -37.8% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 2.64 | 2.75 | +4.3% | +5.9% | +10.9% | -0.8% | -1.9% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 2.87 | 2.89 | +0.7% | -11.7% | -17.6% | -6.6% | -11.8% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 2.06 | 2.13 | +3.2% | -1.4% | -2.8% | +9.5% | +11.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.