MPW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.8% | +1.1% | 7.6% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.6% | 3.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -1.6% | 4.7% | 20% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.5% | 10.8% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 miss | 0.02 | -0.13 | -641.7% | +3.1% | +6.4% | -2.5% | +8.7% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.02 | -0.16 | -1076.8% | +2.2% | -0.2% | +1.0% | +9.2% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | -0.01 | -0.20 | -2467.4% | +0.9% | -6.9% | +1.0% | -12.8% |
| 2025-02-27 miss | -0.06 | -0.69 | -1145.9% | +4.2% | +17.0% | +1.3% | +8.2% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 0.10 | -0.09 | -192.7% | -4.6% | -1.1% | -5.7% | -7.9% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | 0.10 | 0.04 | -63.6% | -6.8% | +4.4% | +2.9% | +4.2% |
| 2024-05-09 miss | 0.11 | -0.07 | -164.4% | -2.9% | +5.2% | +9.2% | +7.2% |
| 2024-02-21 miss | 0.16 | -0.63 | -500.4% | -2.8% | +5.6% | +9.7% | +12.1% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +5.2% | +5.2% | +15.7% | +1.0% | -6.6% |
| 2023-08-08 miss | 0.20 | -0.07 | -135.5% | -5.5% | -14.1% | -12.6% | -22.5% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | 0.22 | 0.20 | -7.4% | +1.5% | +7.6% | -1.4% | -7.2% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 0.27 | 0.47 | +77.4% | -0.6% | -8.7% | -5.8% | -32.4% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 0.30 | 0.26 | -11.1% | +1.8% | +7.6% | -5.0% | +8.2% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 0.31 | 0.29 | -6.2% | -2.4% | -4.9% | +0.9% | -9.6% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 0.32 | 0.30 | -5.0% | +2.2% | +6.1% | -0.6% | -0.8% |
| 2022-02-03 miss | 0.32 | 0.27 | -15.1% | -1.1% | -2.8% | -3.2% | -9.2% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 0.29 | 0.27 | -4.8% | +0.7% | +2.0% | -3.9% | -1.1% |
| 2021-07-29 miss | 0.30 | 0.20 | -35.0% | +0.7% | +0.3% | -1.4% | -3.6% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.25 | 0.28 | +11.2% | +1.3% | -2.2% | -3.7% | -3.8% |
| 2021-02-04 miss | 0.28 | 0.20 | -28.2% | +0.6% | -0.2% | +3.9% | -1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.