MPW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.2% | +4.8% | 9.4% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | -0.8% | 4.1% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -1.6% | 6.7% | 20% |
| 5-day | +4.0% | +5.6% | 13.7% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 miss | 0.02 | -0.13 | -641.7% | +3.1% | +6.4% | -2.5% | +8.7% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.02 | -0.16 | -1076.8% | +2.2% | -0.2% | +1.0% | +9.2% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | -0.01 | -0.20 | -2467.4% | +0.9% | -6.9% | +1.0% | -12.8% |
| 2025-02-27 miss | -0.06 | -0.69 | -1145.9% | +4.2% | +17.0% | +1.3% | +8.2% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 0.10 | -0.09 | -192.7% | -4.6% | -1.1% | -5.7% | -7.9% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | 0.10 | 0.04 | -63.6% | -6.8% | +4.4% | +2.9% | +4.2% |
| 2024-05-09 miss | 0.11 | -0.07 | -164.4% | -2.9% | +5.2% | +9.2% | +7.2% |
| 2024-02-21 miss | 0.16 | -0.63 | -500.4% | -2.8% | +5.6% | +9.7% | +12.1% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +5.2% | +5.2% | +15.7% | +1.0% | -6.6% |
| 2023-08-08 miss | 0.20 | -0.07 | -135.5% | -5.5% | -14.1% | -12.6% | -22.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.