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MRUS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.0% | 8.3% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -0.7% | 4.6% | 26% |
| Day 3 | -1.0% | -0.1% | 3.1% | 42% |
| 5-day | -2.2% | -0.5% | 6.0% | 37% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | -1.02 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-11-12 | -1.36 | — | — | -0.2% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +0.8% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | -1.36 | -1.26 | +7.7% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +0.7% | +1.4% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | -1.15 | -2.23 | -93.2% | -5.9% | -2.8% | +2.4% | +2.9% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | -1.06 | -1.40 | -31.6% | +4.0% | +8.5% | -6.3% | +28.4% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | -0.93 | -0.49 | +47.5% | -3.7% | +1.9% | -2.2% | -10.6% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | -0.85 | -1.46 | -72.2% | -0.9% | -2.6% | +9.2% | -2.8% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | -0.75 | -0.81 | -8.2% | -0.8% | -0.6% | -2.6% | -3.1% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | -0.80 | -0.59 | +26.4% | +0.1% | -4.2% | -0.2% | +18.2% |
| 2024-02-28 miss | -0.71 | -1.09 | -54.0% | +2.3% | -0.5% | -2.8% | -7.1% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | -0.71 | -0.43 | +39.3% | +3.5% | +13.4% | -8.0% | -3.6% |
| 2023-08-07 beat | -0.87 | -0.66 | +24.4% | +3.8% | -8.3% | -6.0% | +3.5% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -0.99 | -0.86 | +13.0% | +4.4% | +10.6% | -3.4% | +9.6% |
| 2023-02-28 miss | -0.83 | -1.81 | -119.2% | +4.0% | +2.0% | +0.4% | -6.6% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -0.63 | -0.53 | +15.4% | -38.6% | -25.0% | +22.8% | -7.1% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | -0.64 | -0.13 | +79.7% | -2.3% | -5.9% | -7.2% | -10.6% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | -0.64 | -0.43 | +33.2% | +5.6% | +7.4% | -9.9% | +19.8% |
| 2022-02-28 beat | -0.61 | -0.34 | +44.7% | +1.0% | +1.4% | -11.2% | -6.9% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | -0.59 | -0.39 | +34.1% | +1.6% | +3.7% | -10.6% | -22.0% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | -0.59 | -0.71 | -20.3% | +0.4% | +5.0% | -1.3% | +32.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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