MSB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.0% | 4.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | +0.1% | 3.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.2% | 3.4% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | +0.7% | 9.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-04-10 miss | 0.42 | 0.36 | -13.3% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -7.7% | -6.9% |
| 2012-12-06 beat | 0.77 | 0.89 | +15.1% | -0.5% | -0.4% | +10.0% | +22.8% |
| 2012-09-05 miss | 0.88 | 0.83 | -5.8% | +0.7% | +2.6% | +9.9% | +6.1% |
| 2012-06-05 miss | 0.30 | 0.26 | -14.4% | +1.4% | +0.9% | +1.7% | +13.7% |
| 2012-04-13 miss | 0.66 | 0.48 | -27.4% | -0.4% | -3.2% | +3.7% | -17.6% |
| 2011-12-07 beat | 0.61 | 1.05 | +71.9% | +0.0% | -6.0% | -3.8% | +17.4% |
| 2011-09-08 beat | 0.60 | 0.77 | +28.7% | -0.6% | +6.0% | -4.7% | -20.4% |
| 2011-06-03 miss | 0.33 | 0.23 | -29.2% | -0.6% | -3.6% | -0.8% | +13.6% |
| 2011-04-11 miss | 0.57 | 0.40 | -29.6% | -0.7% | -2.6% | -9.8% | -17.2% |
| 2010-12-03 beat | 0.81 | 0.87 | +7.2% | +1.6% | +6.7% | +6.1% | -26.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.