MTB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +1.0% | 5.2% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.0% | 1.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.5% | 2.2% | 65% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +2.7% | 5.7% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 beat | 4.66 | 5.32 | +14.1% | +0.8% | +2.8% | +0.9% | +1.9% |
| 2026-04-15 beat | 4.02 | 4.13 | +2.6% | +0.4% | -1.5% | +0.2% | -5.2% |
| 2026-01-16 beat | 4.47 | 4.67 | +4.5% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +0.9% | +9.2% |
| 2025-10-16 beat | 4.39 | 4.82 | +9.8% | +0.0% | -3.5% | +1.4% | +4.7% |
| 2025-07-16 beat | 4.01 | 4.24 | +5.7% | +0.9% | -2.4% | +1.7% | +0.7% |
| 2025-04-14 miss | 3.40 | 3.32 | -2.3% | -0.6% | +0.3% | +2.2% | +17.0% |
| 2025-01-16 beat | 3.74 | 3.77 | +1.0% | -2.6% | -2.4% | +1.5% | +2.3% |
| 2024-10-17 beat | 3.62 | 4.03 | +11.4% | +4.7% | +5.0% | -2.2% | +8.0% |
| 2024-07-18 beat | 3.49 | 3.79 | +8.6% | +5.7% | +1.7% | +3.7% | -2.6% |
| 2024-04-15 miss | 3.12 | 3.01 | -3.5% | +4.0% | +4.7% | +3.4% | +10.0% |
| 2024-01-18 miss | 3.67 | 3.60 | -1.8% | +2.0% | +1.5% | +6.9% | +4.1% |
| 2023-10-18 beat | 3.92 | 3.98 | +1.5% | +0.0% | -2.5% | -8.0% | +1.8% |
| 2023-07-19 beat | 4.03 | 4.11 | +1.9% | +2.1% | +2.5% | +1.7% | -6.8% |
| 2023-04-17 beat | 3.96 | 4.01 | +1.2% | -0.5% | +7.8% | -0.9% | -10.1% |
| 2023-01-19 beat | 4.44 | 4.51 | +1.5% | +1.6% | +5.5% | +0.8% | +4.0% |
| 2022-10-19 miss | 4.26 | 3.77 | -11.5% | -9.9% | -13.9% | +1.2% | +3.0% |
| 2022-07-20 miss | 3.15 | 3.12 | -0.9% | -3.0% | +0.5% | +4.5% | +15.5% |
| 2022-04-20 beat | 2.34 | 2.73 | +16.7% | +1.2% | +8.8% | -2.9% | -7.6% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | 3.26 | 3.49 | +7.0% | +1.6% | -5.4% | +1.5% | +9.6% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 3.50 | 5.06 | +44.7% | +0.0% | +5.8% | -7.0% | -0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.