MTB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.1% | 3.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 1.9% | 70% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +1.7% | 3.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 beat | 4.66 | 5.32 | +14.1% | +0.8% | +2.8% | +0.9% | +1.9% |
| 2026-04-15 beat | 4.02 | 4.13 | +2.6% | +0.4% | -1.5% | +0.2% | -5.2% |
| 2026-01-16 beat | 4.47 | 4.67 | +4.5% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +0.9% | +9.2% |
| 2025-10-16 beat | 4.39 | 4.82 | +9.8% | +0.0% | -3.5% | +1.4% | +4.7% |
| 2025-07-16 beat | 4.01 | 4.24 | +5.7% | +0.9% | -2.4% | +1.7% | +0.7% |
| 2025-04-14 miss | 3.40 | 3.32 | -2.3% | -0.6% | +0.3% | +2.2% | +17.0% |
| 2025-01-16 beat | 3.74 | 3.77 | +1.0% | -2.6% | -2.4% | +1.5% | +2.3% |
| 2024-10-17 beat | 3.62 | 4.03 | +11.4% | +4.7% | +5.0% | -2.2% | +8.0% |
| 2024-07-18 beat | 3.49 | 3.79 | +8.6% | +5.7% | +1.7% | +3.7% | -2.6% |
| 2024-04-15 miss | 3.12 | 3.01 | -3.5% | +4.0% | +4.7% | +3.4% | +10.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.