MTD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -0.3% | 6.2% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -1.4% | -0.9% | 3.1% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.9% | 1.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | -1.4% | -2.0% | 9.5% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 10.80 | 11.46 | +6.1% | +6.1% | +2.6% | +0.9% | -0.8% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 8.71 | 8.91 | +2.3% | -9.6% | -14.8% | -8.3% | +3.4% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 12.81 | 13.36 | +4.3% | +0.1% | -0.7% | -0.9% | -10.3% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 10.66 | 11.15 | +4.6% | -1.3% | +0.0% | -2.5% | -4.7% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 9.60 | 10.09 | +5.1% | +0.0% | -3.0% | +4.9% | +6.6% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 7.88 | 8.19 | +3.9% | +1.7% | +4.1% | -1.7% | +6.0% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 11.72 | 12.41 | +5.8% | +6.0% | +2.4% | -8.5% | -10.6% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 10.01 | 10.21 | +1.9% | -4.9% | -7.2% | -10.0% | -3.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 9.05 | 9.65 | +6.7% | -3.4% | -4.9% | -3.1% | -3.0% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 7.65 | 8.89 | +16.1% | +7.7% | +17.0% | +0.8% | -4.6% |
| 2024-02-08 miss | 9.54 | 9.40 | -1.4% | +1.3% | -4.1% | +1.1% | +9.7% |
| 2023-11-09 miss | 9.87 | 9.80 | -0.7% | -2.0% | +1.9% | +0.5% | +6.8% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 9.98 | 10.19 | +2.1% | -4.8% | -1.2% | -2.8% | -9.7% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 8.61 | 8.69 | +0.9% | +0.0% | -3.4% | -2.9% | -7.2% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 11.68 | 12.10 | +3.6% | +0.2% | -1.4% | +0.0% | -2.9% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 9.83 | 10.18 | +3.5% | -1.0% | +4.8% | +14.0% | +13.2% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 8.77 | 9.39 | +7.0% | +1.0% | +3.9% | -0.1% | -8.7% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 7.28 | 7.87 | +8.1% | -1.1% | +0.3% | -4.6% | +0.0% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 10.11 | 10.53 | +4.2% | -1.4% | -6.0% | -1.5% | -7.8% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 8.28 | 8.72 | +5.3% | +1.8% | +2.3% | +1.0% | +3.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.