MTD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.1% | 4.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.4% | 2.2% | 35% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.6% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +0.6% | 6.7% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 10.80 | 11.46 | +6.1% | +6.1% | +2.6% | +0.9% | -0.8% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 8.71 | 8.91 | +2.3% | -9.6% | -14.8% | -8.3% | +3.4% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 12.81 | 13.36 | +4.3% | +0.1% | -0.7% | -0.9% | -10.3% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 10.66 | 11.15 | +4.6% | -1.3% | +0.0% | -2.5% | -4.7% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 9.60 | 10.09 | +5.1% | +0.0% | -3.0% | +4.9% | +6.6% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 7.88 | 8.19 | +3.9% | +1.7% | +4.1% | -1.7% | +6.0% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 11.72 | 12.41 | +5.8% | +6.0% | +2.4% | -8.5% | -10.6% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 10.01 | 10.21 | +1.9% | -4.9% | -7.2% | -10.0% | -3.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 9.05 | 9.65 | +6.7% | -3.4% | -4.9% | -3.1% | -3.0% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 7.65 | 8.89 | +16.1% | +7.7% | +17.0% | +0.8% | -4.6% |
| 2024-02-08 miss | 9.54 | 9.40 | -1.4% | +1.3% | -4.1% | +1.1% | +9.7% |
| 2023-11-09 miss | 9.87 | 9.80 | -0.7% | -2.0% | +1.9% | +0.5% | +6.8% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 9.98 | 10.19 | +2.1% | -4.8% | -1.2% | -2.8% | -9.7% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 8.61 | 8.69 | +0.9% | +0.0% | -3.4% | -2.9% | -7.2% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 11.68 | 12.10 | +3.6% | +0.2% | -1.4% | +0.0% | -2.9% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 9.83 | 10.18 | +3.5% | -1.0% | +4.8% | +14.0% | +13.2% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 8.77 | 9.39 | +7.0% | +1.0% | +3.9% | -0.1% | -8.7% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 7.28 | 7.87 | +8.1% | -1.1% | +0.3% | -4.6% | +0.0% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 10.11 | 10.53 | +4.2% | -1.4% | -6.0% | -1.5% | -7.8% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 8.28 | 8.72 | +5.3% | +1.8% | +2.3% | +1.0% | +3.1% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 7.62 | 8.10 | +6.3% | -1.0% | -2.5% | +3.3% | +7.8% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 5.61 | 6.56 | +16.9% | -0.5% | -1.5% | -0.3% | -1.0% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 8.76 | 9.26 | +5.8% | -1.3% | -1.8% | +2.1% | -12.1% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 5.99 | 7.02 | +17.1% | +9.2% | +7.0% | +0.0% | -1.7% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 4.22 | 5.29 | +25.4% | +3.1% | +4.4% | +1.0% | +3.8% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 3.83 | 4.00 | +4.5% | +1.3% | -1.8% | -2.9% | +13.3% |
| 2020-02-06 beat | 7.70 | 7.78 | +1.0% | -0.1% | +1.1% | -3.0% | -10.9% |
| 2019-11-07 beat | 5.72 | 5.77 | +0.9% | -5.7% | -1.7% | +2.3% | +6.4% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 5.08 | 5.16 | +1.6% | -4.0% | -5.6% | -2.2% | -9.0% |
| 2019-05-09 beat | 4.06 | 4.10 | +0.9% | -1.0% | -1.9% | -0.2% | +10.6% |
| 2019-02-07 beat | 6.75 | 6.85 | +1.5% | +2.8% | +2.2% | +1.0% | +4.4% |
| 2018-11-08 beat | 5.00 | 5.12 | +2.4% | +2.9% | +2.1% | -1.4% | -0.1% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 4.58 | 4.65 | +1.5% | -1.0% | -4.5% | -0.6% | -2.9% |
| 2018-05-03 beat | 3.74 | 3.74 | +0.1% | +0.9% | -3.8% | +1.9% | +3.8% |
| 2018-02-08 beat | 5.93 | 5.97 | +0.6% | +2.2% | -0.1% | +5.7% | +1.9% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 4.34 | 4.36 | +0.5% | -3.3% | -3.8% | -3.6% | -5.2% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 3.89 | 3.92 | +0.8% | -1.2% | -2.9% | -0.3% | +2.8% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | 3.09 | 3.34 | +8.1% | +5.9% | +4.8% | +2.2% | +9.1% |
| 2017-02-02 beat | 5.12 | 5.28 | +3.2% | +3.3% | +6.7% | +0.6% | +4.0% |
| 2016-11-03 beat | 3.67 | 3.89 | +6.1% | +4.3% | +5.7% | +0.4% | -0.4% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 3.13 | 3.22 | +2.9% | +0.9% | +3.4% | -3.0% | -0.8% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | 2.44 | 2.46 | +0.8% | -0.4% | -1.9% | +3.0% | +5.7% |
| 2016-02-04 beat | 4.61 | 4.65 | +0.9% | -0.1% | -0.7% | -1.5% | +7.3% |
| 2015-11-05 beat | 3.18 | 3.26 | +2.4% | +4.0% | +4.9% | +0.2% | +2.0% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 2.78 | 2.80 | +0.6% | -1.0% | -0.8% | -2.4% | -12.2% |
| 2015-05-07 beat | 2.17 | 2.25 | +3.8% | +5.1% | +1.4% | -0.2% | +2.0% |
| 2015-02-05 beat | 4.15 | 4.24 | +2.1% | +5.4% | -0.8% | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2014-11-06 beat | 2.86 | 2.95 | +3.0% | +3.2% | +5.3% | +3.8% | +5.4% |
| 2014-07-24 miss | 2.57 | 2.57 | -0.0% | -1.6% | +1.4% | -3.0% | +2.7% |
| 2014-05-08 beat | 1.98 | 2.00 | +1.3% | -0.6% | +2.5% | +1.4% | +2.8% |
| 2014-02-05 beat | 3.74 | 3.82 | +2.1% | +2.7% | +7.7% | -0.8% | -3.7% |
| 2013-11-07 beat | 2.59 | 2.60 | +0.6% | -3.6% | -2.4% | +3.6% | +1.8% |
| 2013-07-25 beat | 2.34 | 2.35 | +0.6% | -1.0% | -1.6% | +3.5% | +3.6% |
| 2013-05-02 beat | 1.80 | 1.84 | +2.0% | +1.6% | +6.2% | +5.3% | +0.2% |
| 2013-02-06 beat | 3.20 | 3.47 | +8.5% | +0.5% | +2.3% | -1.7% | -0.9% |
| 2012-11-01 beat | 2.25 | 2.40 | +6.6% | -0.6% | +0.5% | +0.8% | +6.2% |
| 2012-07-26 beat | 2.14 | 2.15 | +0.6% | -5.2% | +0.5% | +2.2% | +4.9% |
| 2012-05-03 beat | 1.63 | 1.66 | +2.1% | -8.3% | -7.8% | -1.4% | -8.8% |
| 2012-02-08 beat | 2.79 | 2.88 | +3.3% | -0.4% | +0.9% | -2.0% | -3.9% |
| 2011-11-03 beat | 1.92 | 2.01 | +4.6% | -0.4% | +6.2% | -1.3% | -1.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.