MTDR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.3% | -1.2% | 4.3% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.5% | 2.2% | 65% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 2.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | -0.1% | 7.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 2.09 | 2.61 | +24.6% | +5.9% | +3.5% | +6.0% | +21.6% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 1.26 | 1.53 | +21.4% | +0.9% | -3.8% | +4.3% | -0.5% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 0.76 | 0.87 | +15.1% | -0.7% | -1.5% | +7.6% | +29.0% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 1.23 | 1.36 | +11.0% | -8.1% | -9.6% | +0.1% | +2.0% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 1.41 | 1.53 | +8.2% | -3.5% | -1.2% | +1.8% | -7.9% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 1.78 | 1.99 | +11.6% | +5.9% | -0.2% | -0.6% | +6.5% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 1.75 | 1.83 | +4.7% | -0.6% | -2.0% | -7.9% | -7.6% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 1.65 | 1.89 | +14.7% | +1.2% | +0.9% | +1.9% | +18.5% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 1.74 | 2.05 | +18.0% | +4.9% | +1.2% | -0.3% | -9.6% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 1.52 | 1.71 | +12.7% | +3.6% | +0.2% | -6.4% | -8.0% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 1.85 | 1.99 | +7.6% | +1.1% | +3.1% | +3.6% | +13.4% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 1.66 | 1.86 | +11.8% | +2.6% | -2.2% | -0.9% | -4.7% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 1.34 | 1.42 | +6.2% | -1.8% | -6.7% | +4.9% | +13.6% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.26 | 1.50 | +18.9% | +1.0% | -3.5% | -8.5% | -3.0% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 2.00 | 2.08 | +3.8% | -6.1% | -9.8% | +5.7% | -14.1% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 2.53 | 2.68 | +6.0% | -0.4% | +0.5% | -1.1% | -2.3% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 3.13 | 3.47 | +10.8% | +0.4% | +8.6% | -1.0% | +12.6% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 2.06 | 2.32 | +12.8% | +2.4% | -1.2% | +9.2% | +16.4% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 1.08 | 1.26 | +16.5% | +5.2% | +1.0% | +17.6% | +25.6% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 1.00 | 1.25 | +25.6% | +0.2% | -4.2% | -3.8% | -11.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.