MTX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.3% | 5.2% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 3.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 1.7% | 57% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +1.6% | 8.0% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 1.64 | 1.60 | -2.1% | -1.5% | +5.1% | -1.2% | -7.0% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.25 | 1.38 | +10.0% | +2.3% | +5.6% | +4.7% | +0.7% |
| 2026-01-29 miss | 1.28 | 1.27 | -0.6% | -2.5% | +0.8% | +10.7% | +7.9% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 1.46 | 1.55 | +6.2% | -0.9% | -2.9% | -5.0% | -3.3% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 1.41 | 1.55 | +9.9% | +4.0% | +10.6% | -13.7% | -2.3% |
| 2025-04-24 miss | 1.19 | 1.14 | -3.8% | -7.1% | -9.9% | +0.1% | +13.2% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.39 | 1.50 | +7.9% | +0.3% | -3.1% | -3.1% | -9.1% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 1.50 | 1.51 | +0.5% | -0.6% | -1.9% | -1.3% | +10.6% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 1.60 | 1.65 | +3.0% | -1.2% | -8.8% | -8.6% | -5.1% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.28 | 1.49 | +16.4% | +4.6% | +3.5% | +4.7% | +14.5% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 1.25 | 1.28 | +2.4% | +0.9% | +2.8% | +3.8% | +4.4% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.32 | 1.49 | +13.3% | +5.0% | +3.9% | +11.7% | +16.0% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 1.26 | 1.31 | +3.8% | +0.7% | +0.3% | +1.3% | +0.1% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 1.04 | 1.14 | +9.3% | +2.6% | +5.7% | +3.3% | -4.4% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 1.19 | 0.67 | -43.8% | -11.8% | -13.1% | -3.2% | -4.1% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 1.40 | 1.35 | -3.2% | -2.9% | -2.6% | -2.6% | +5.0% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.45 | 1.50 | +3.3% | -0.9% | -0.5% | -4.7% | -8.6% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 1.25 | 1.36 | +8.8% | -1.9% | +0.4% | +3.9% | +4.2% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 1.21 | 1.25 | +3.0% | -4.1% | -5.3% | +5.2% | -5.2% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 1.24 | 1.30 | +4.6% | +1.7% | +3.5% | +2.6% | -9.5% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 1.24 | 1.29 | +3.6% | -0.3% | +1.6% | -0.3% | -1.5% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 1.05 | 1.17 | +11.2% | -0.5% | -0.3% | +2.2% | +4.7% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 0.91 | 1.08 | +18.2% | +2.9% | +0.7% | +4.3% | +16.3% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.87 | 0.92 | +5.4% | -0.2% | -0.6% | +4.2% | +13.8% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.76 | 0.85 | +11.4% | -1.4% | -1.7% | +9.7% | +8.3% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.96 | 1.13 | +18.0% | -0.3% | -3.7% | +5.6% | +17.9% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 0.91 | 0.95 | +4.6% | +3.4% | -1.9% | +2.8% | -19.0% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 1.01 | 1.06 | +5.0% | +6.6% | +7.6% | +7.1% | +0.4% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 1.06 | 1.11 | +4.9% | +6.0% | +3.3% | -5.8% | -10.9% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 1.11 | 1.11 | +0.2% | +1.8% | +5.1% | -4.5% | -10.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.