MU chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | -1.5% | 8.3% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 3.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 2.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | -2.2% | 11.3% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 beat | 20.69 | 25.11 | +21.4% | +17.6% | +15.7% | -19.6% | -25.8% |
| 2026-03-18 beat | 9.16 | 12.20 | +33.2% | -8.0% | -3.8% | -20.0% | +0.9% |
| 2025-12-17 beat | 3.96 | 4.78 | +20.6% | +13.8% | +10.2% | +14.6% | +56.6% |
| 2025-09-23 beat | 2.86 | 3.03 | +5.9% | -0.8% | -2.8% | +12.6% | +27.8% |
| 2025-06-25 beat | 1.59 | 1.91 | +19.8% | +1.8% | -1.0% | -2.9% | -11.7% |
| 2025-03-20 beat | 1.42 | 1.56 | +9.5% | -4.7% | -8.0% | -6.6% | -25.9% |
| 2024-12-18 beat | 1.77 | 1.79 | +1.4% | -13.3% | -16.2% | +1.8% | +20.4% |
| 2024-09-25 beat | 1.11 | 1.18 | +5.9% | +18.1% | +14.7% | -7.3% | -1.8% |
| 2024-06-26 beat | 0.53 | 0.62 | +17.3% | -4.6% | -7.1% | -0.5% | -18.4% |
| 2024-03-20 beat | -0.24 | 0.42 | +273.8% | +17.8% | +14.1% | +7.3% | -0.7% |
| 2023-12-20 beat | -1.01 | -0.95 | +5.8% | +8.0% | +8.6% | -0.2% | +3.0% |
| 2023-09-27 beat | -1.18 | -1.07 | +9.3% | -3.3% | -4.4% | +5.9% | +0.7% |
| 2023-06-28 beat | -1.57 | -1.43 | +8.7% | +1.1% | -4.1% | -5.7% | +11.0% |
| 2023-03-28 miss | -0.88 | -1.91 | -115.8% | +2.7% | +7.2% | -10.3% | +1.3% |
| 2022-12-21 miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -114.0% | -3.3% | -3.4% | +1.1% | +24.5% |
| 2022-09-29 beat | 1.37 | 1.45 | +5.8% | +1.1% | +0.2% | +5.6% | +8.0% |
| 2022-06-30 beat | 2.44 | 2.59 | +6.0% | -3.6% | -2.9% | +7.8% | +16.4% |
| 2022-03-29 beat | 1.98 | 2.14 | +8.1% | +2.7% | -3.5% | -6.8% | -13.9% |
| 2021-12-20 beat | 2.11 | 2.16 | +2.6% | +8.5% | +10.5% | +6.1% | -9.6% |
| 2021-09-28 beat | 2.34 | 2.42 | +3.4% | -2.7% | -2.0% | -2.4% | -2.9% |
| 2021-06-30 beat | 1.72 | 1.88 | +9.2% | -3.2% | -5.7% | -1.7% | -3.1% |
| 2021-03-31 beat | 0.95 | 0.98 | +3.7% | +5.4% | +4.8% | +3.1% | -8.0% |
| 2021-01-07 beat | 0.69 | 0.78 | +13.0% | +4.3% | -2.1% | +4.3% | +7.6% |
| 2020-09-29 beat | 0.97 | 1.08 | +10.9% | -3.5% | -7.4% | +3.1% | +7.5% |
| 2020-06-29 beat | 0.76 | 0.82 | +7.5% | +5.4% | +4.8% | -3.5% | -1.5% |
| 2020-03-25 beat | 0.37 | 0.45 | +21.4% | +5.6% | +5.4% | -8.3% | +1.1% |
| 2019-12-18 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +1.6% | +3.7% | +2.8% | -0.9% | +8.5% |
| 2019-09-26 beat | 0.48 | 0.56 | +15.6% | -5.6% | -11.1% | +3.1% | +12.7% |
| 2019-06-25 beat | 0.79 | 1.05 | +33.0% | +9.8% | +13.3% | +6.9% | +28.2% |
| 2019-03-20 beat | 1.66 | 1.71 | +3.0% | +3.9% | +9.6% | -10.6% | -1.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.