MUR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.3% | 4.1% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.6% | 3.6% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +1.9% | +1.1% | 5.1% | 63% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +1.6% | 8.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 1.58 | 1.55 | -2.2% | -5.4% | -8.3% | +5.3% | +10.3% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +3.4% | -5.0% | -1.7% | +1.8% | +4.5% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | -0.03 | 0.14 | +523.5% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.8% | +12.0% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.18 | 0.41 | +131.9% | +4.6% | +5.3% | +5.4% | +15.8% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.17 | 0.27 | +61.2% | +4.4% | -3.3% | +1.6% | +10.7% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.49 | 0.56 | +14.7% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +5.5% | +7.7% |
| 2025-01-30 miss | 0.57 | 0.35 | -38.4% | -2.5% | -5.9% | -4.3% | -11.0% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.64 | 0.74 | +16.0% | -0.3% | +0.6% | +0.9% | -7.6% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.73 | 0.81 | +10.7% | +4.5% | +0.9% | +1.4% | -6.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.82 | 0.85 | +3.5% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +1.7% | -8.1% |
| 2024-01-25 miss | 1.03 | 0.90 | -12.8% | -1.1% | -0.3% | +0.7% | +3.7% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.43 | 1.59 | +11.2% | -0.3% | +3.0% | -8.2% | -7.2% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 0.82 | 0.79 | -3.4% | +0.9% | +3.6% | +1.8% | +7.3% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 0.98 | 1.24 | +26.6% | -2.3% | -0.3% | -0.5% | +10.8% |
| 2023-01-26 miss | 1.12 | 1.10 | -2.1% | +0.7% | +5.8% | -8.7% | -11.4% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 1.61 | 1.84 | +14.1% | -9.1% | -3.2% | +2.8% | -5.5% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 1.54 | 1.93 | +25.1% | +1.4% | +1.3% | +7.6% | +20.6% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.61 | 0.73 | +18.9% | +1.1% | +2.1% | -16.8% | +9.4% |
| 2022-01-27 miss | 0.44 | 0.40 | -9.6% | +2.7% | +1.7% | +5.8% | +10.8% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.18 | 0.24 | +32.0% | +4.7% | -1.4% | +3.8% | -0.4% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.36 | 0.59 | +63.1% | +3.4% | +5.7% | +6.0% | -1.3% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | -0.16 | 0.06 | +138.0% | -0.6% | -0.4% | +4.3% | +30.7% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | -0.11 | -0.09 | +16.2% | -1.1% | -7.6% | +0.5% | +29.8% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | -0.18 | -0.15 | +15.4% | -2.5% | -5.3% | +15.2% | +60.7% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | -0.93 | -0.71 | +23.4% | -3.8% | -3.6% | +6.6% | -13.5% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | -0.44 | -0.30 | +32.0% | +0.1% | +2.0% | +6.7% | +73.0% |
| 2020-01-30 miss | 0.17 | 0.16 | -5.7% | -9.8% | -5.9% | +5.3% | -10.2% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 0.20 | 0.36 | +81.7% | +7.6% | +5.7% | +21.1% | +13.7% |
| 2019-08-08 beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +17.2% | +2.1% | -7.3% | -7.7% | +2.7% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | 0.15 | 0.15 | -3.2% | -3.7% | -1.9% | +8.8% | -2.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.