NBR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.5% | +2.7% | 9.8% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.3% | 5.6% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.1% | 5.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | +3.6% | +2.4% | 15.9% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | -1.28 | -2.04 | -59.4% | +7.7% | +4.8% | -0.8% | +15.6% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | -2.03 | -1.54 | +24.1% | +0.6% | +11.3% | -4.6% | -11.1% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | -1.39 | 0.95 | +168.1% | -6.2% | -9.9% | +22.4% | +19.0% |
| 2025-10-28 miss | -1.54 | -2.61 | -69.5% | +5.6% | +10.2% | -0.3% | -4.1% |
| 2025-07-29 miss | -1.52 | -2.71 | -78.6% | +0.0% | +2.2% | -1.7% | +6.3% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | -2.88 | 2.18 | +175.7% | -0.6% | -7.0% | -3.8% | -3.8% |
| 2025-02-12 miss | -2.31 | -6.67 | -189.4% | -3.7% | -7.1% | -13.0% | -11.7% |
| 2024-10-22 miss | -1.91 | -6.86 | -259.3% | +1.4% | -1.8% | +6.4% | +7.5% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | -1.81 | -4.29 | -136.4% | +4.3% | +10.4% | +15.0% | -15.8% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | -1.95 | -4.54 | -133.1% | +1.1% | -4.9% | -7.7% | -4.3% |
| 2024-02-06 miss | -0.82 | -2.70 | -227.5% | +0.6% | -1.2% | -4.3% | +2.9% |
| 2023-10-25 miss | 0.77 | -5.40 | -797.1% | -4.2% | -6.2% | -7.1% | -15.7% |
| 2023-07-25 miss | 2.47 | -1.46 | -158.9% | -4.4% | +3.1% | -2.3% | -10.6% |
| 2023-04-24 miss | 1.13 | -1.43 | -227.0% | -2.0% | -10.1% | -12.5% | -11.4% |
| 2023-02-07 miss | -0.47 | -7.87 | -1586.2% | +0.6% | +6.7% | -11.8% | -29.0% |
| 2022-10-25 miss | -4.40 | -5.54 | -25.8% | +8.6% | +22.4% | -1.7% | -8.2% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | -7.67 | -9.41 | -22.8% | -0.1% | -13.1% | +12.9% | +14.6% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | -10.63 | -22.51 | -111.7% | -0.3% | -0.7% | -2.9% | +5.9% |
| 2022-02-08 miss | -11.16 | -14.14 | -26.7% | -4.4% | +5.5% | +9.9% | +33.6% |
| 2021-10-26 miss | -12.37 | -13.85 | -11.9% | -1.9% | -8.3% | -8.3% | -25.1% |
| 2021-07-27 miss | -16.99 | -26.59 | -56.5% | -1.8% | +3.1% | -13.8% | -16.8% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | -20.70 | -15.11 | +27.0% | -2.0% | -3.9% | +3.7% | +5.9% |
| 2021-02-23 beat | -26.41 | -16.46 | +37.7% | +1.8% | +19.7% | +3.5% | -8.5% |
| 2020-11-03 beat | -23.47 | -22.23 | +5.3% | -3.7% | +6.5% | +14.3% | +82.8% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | -24.36 | -14.45 | +40.7% | +5.2% | +4.2% | +24.1% | -10.8% |
| 2020-05-05 miss | -14.06 | -19.87 | -41.4% | -1.4% | +1.7% | +30.7% | +427.9% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | -13.67 | -11.47 | +16.0% | -3.4% | -1.3% | -23.5% | -78.3% |
| 2019-10-29 miss | -11.20 | -18.50 | -65.1% | +1.1% | +5.6% | +9.5% | +9.0% |
| 2019-07-29 miss | -11.99 | -30.50 | -154.3% | -4.8% | +29.5% | -7.7% | -34.9% |
| 2019-04-30 miss | -12.86 | -18.00 | -40.0% | -5.1% | +3.7% | +6.9% | -35.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.