NCLH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.4% | -2.2% | 8.1% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -1.1% | 3.6% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +1.4% | +0.7% | 5.5% | 60% |
| 5-day | -1.3% | +0.0% | 14.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.39 | 0.48 | +22.8% | -8.6% | -9.8% | +3.5% | -11.1% |
| 2026-05-04 beat | 0.14 | 0.23 | +61.2% | -6.9% | -8.6% | -3.6% | +5.5% |
| 2026-03-02 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +5.5% | -8.8% | -10.5% | -6.6% | -15.7% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 1.16 | 1.20 | +3.3% | -8.0% | -15.3% | +0.2% | +0.1% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -1.1% | +11.6% | +9.2% | -4.3% | -2.8% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -22.9% | -10.0% | -7.8% | +8.0% | +10.1% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.11 | 0.26 | +142.9% | +3.1% | -5.3% | -15.7% | -19.3% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.94 | 0.99 | +5.3% | +5.7% | +6.3% | +6.7% | +11.9% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +16.7% | +3.9% | -0.7% | -19.5% | -3.1% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.09 | 0.16 | +79.0% | -4.9% | -15.0% | +0.1% | +3.2% |
| 2024-02-27 miss | -0.13 | -0.18 | -33.3% | +11.0% | +19.8% | +3.0% | +11.8% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.68 | 0.76 | +11.2% | -0.2% | -3.7% | +2.6% | +25.3% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +13.2% | -10.9% | -12.1% | -5.1% | -14.8% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | -0.43 | -0.30 | +29.5% | +0.8% | +8.9% | -1.9% | +2.1% |
| 2023-02-28 miss | -0.84 | -1.04 | -24.0% | -4.8% | -10.2% | +7.7% | -11.2% |
| 2022-11-08 beat | -0.69 | -0.64 | +7.1% | +2.2% | +3.7% | +5.9% | -9.0% |
| 2022-08-09 miss | -0.83 | -1.14 | -36.8% | -7.9% | -10.6% | +20.3% | +18.0% |
| 2022-05-10 miss | -1.41 | -1.82 | -29.4% | +8.5% | +1.6% | +4.7% | -15.1% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | -1.61 | -1.95 | -20.9% | -9.1% | +0.4% | -4.2% | +2.5% |
| 2021-11-03 miss | -2.00 | -2.17 | -8.5% | -1.8% | +1.8% | -2.2% | -33.1% |
| 2021-08-06 beat | -2.00 | -1.93 | +3.4% | +1.6% | +2.9% | +0.6% | +0.6% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | -2.06 | -2.03 | +1.7% | -0.5% | -6.8% | -4.9% | +19.1% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | -2.16 | -2.33 | -8.0% | +4.0% | -8.0% | +14.4% | -6.7% |
| 2020-11-09 miss | -2.22 | -2.35 | -5.9% | -3.3% | -6.5% | +9.6% | +36.4% |
| 2020-08-06 miss | -2.28 | -2.78 | -21.7% | -2.8% | +3.8% | +7.7% | +29.4% |
| 2020-05-14 miss | -0.69 | -0.99 | -42.5% | -3.6% | +4.4% | +30.4% | +85.8% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | 0.70 | 0.73 | +3.6% | -1.0% | -6.7% | -28.4% | -82.0% |
| 2019-11-07 beat | 2.16 | 2.23 | +3.0% | +2.2% | +0.3% | +0.4% | +5.1% |
| 2019-08-08 beat | 1.27 | 1.30 | +2.6% | -0.6% | +2.0% | +1.0% | +8.9% |
| 2019-05-09 beat | 0.71 | 0.83 | +17.1% | +1.2% | +0.4% | -0.1% | -6.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.