NDAQ chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 3.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.2% | 1.8% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 1.1% | 65% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | -0.5% | 6.1% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 0.98 | 1.07 | +8.8% | +2.4% | -0.5% | +5.2% | +8.6% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 0.93 | 0.96 | +2.8% | +1.3% | +0.8% | +5.6% | +4.6% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 0.92 | 0.96 | +4.8% | +1.1% | -0.6% | -12.8% | -10.2% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 0.85 | 0.88 | +3.7% | +1.8% | +1.7% | -2.6% | -4.8% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.81 | 0.85 | +4.5% | +1.7% | +5.9% | +2.9% | +1.3% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.77 | 0.79 | +2.5% | -1.9% | +1.7% | +1.9% | +9.4% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 0.75 | 0.76 | +1.4% | -2.4% | +0.7% | +1.4% | +1.3% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.69 | 0.74 | +6.6% | -0.9% | +1.8% | -1.8% | +7.7% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.64 | 0.69 | +7.3% | +3.6% | +7.2% | +0.1% | +4.6% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 0.65 | 0.63 | -3.5% | -3.7% | -2.0% | -0.4% | +3.2% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +1.8% | +0.3% | -1.2% | -1.5% | -2.1% |
| 2023-10-18 beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +3.7% | +2.7% | +4.0% | -4.7% | +3.1% |
| 2023-07-19 beat | 0.66 | 0.71 | +7.3% | +0.5% | -1.8% | +1.0% | +2.5% |
| 2023-04-19 beat | 0.66 | 0.69 | +4.9% | +2.5% | +3.1% | -5.6% | -3.7% |
| 2023-01-25 miss | 0.65 | 0.64 | -2.0% | -4.8% | -5.8% | +2.1% | -2.1% |
| 2022-10-19 beat | 0.65 | 0.68 | +5.2% | -0.4% | -2.1% | +7.2% | +15.8% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 0.64 | 0.69 | +8.2% | +2.0% | +6.1% | +2.9% | +13.7% |
| 2022-04-20 beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +1.3% | -0.9% | -4.5% | -7.4% | -17.2% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +8.4% | +0.9% | -3.1% | +7.6% | +1.9% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +3.1% | -0.1% | -4.6% | +1.6% | +4.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.