NE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | -2.5% | 6.2% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.8% | 4.0% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | +0.8% | 3.1% | 60% |
| 5-day | -1.4% | -1.2% | 7.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 miss | 0.18 | 0.01 | -94.6% | -6.6% | -9.1% | +4.2% | +15.3% |
| 2026-04-26 beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +26.2% | +1.8% | -4.9% | -2.0% | -7.4% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 0.15 | 0.09 | -41.1% | -1.3% | -3.4% | +6.9% | +8.5% |
| 2025-10-27 miss | 0.30 | 0.19 | -35.9% | +0.1% | -1.5% | -3.2% | +1.6% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 0.49 | 0.13 | -73.2% | +0.3% | +2.1% | +0.3% | +4.1% |
| 2025-04-28 miss | 0.38 | 0.26 | -32.4% | +12.6% | +7.0% | +1.8% | +13.3% |
| 2025-02-17 miss | 0.64 | 0.56 | -13.0% | -1.9% | -4.4% | -5.6% | -10.2% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 0.83 | 0.58 | -30.5% | +1.9% | +11.3% | -2.2% | -10.4% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.58 | 0.72 | +23.5% | -0.4% | -5.5% | -9.3% | -14.5% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +2.8% | -2.5% | -0.9% | +4.0% | -6.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.