NEO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.6% | -0.1% | 15.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.6% | 5.2% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | -0.5% | 5.9% | 45% |
| 5-day | +4.1% | +1.3% | 19.7% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 0.03 | 0.05 | +48.6% | +15.4% | +14.0% | +3.0% | +22.1% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | — | 0.01 | +800.9% | +13.6% | -0.7% | -0.8% | +17.4% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +50.0% | -7.7% | +0.5% | -15.6% | -30.0% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +25.8% | +6.5% | -2.4% | +1.8% | +22.3% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +21.9% | -18.0% | -18.7% | +7.0% | +34.9% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | -3.3% | -34.0% | +16.9% | +12.0% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +40.0% | -12.3% | -13.9% | -12.3% | -19.8% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 0.01 | 0.05 | +500.2% | -4.2% | +5.6% | +9.4% | +15.1% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | — | 0.03 | +1398.7% | +8.5% | +18.0% | -6.4% | -5.4% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +41.5% | -2.0% | -8.5% | +11.9% | +0.6% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | -0.03 | 0.03 | +212.5% | +11.6% | +12.1% | -5.6% | -6.3% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | -0.08 | -0.02 | +72.0% | +9.2% | +14.2% | +4.5% | +7.2% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | -0.11 | -0.05 | +56.1% | +1.3% | -3.0% | -11.7% | -8.6% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | -0.15 | -0.09 | +40.6% | +2.1% | +7.7% | -6.9% | -16.2% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | -0.16 | -0.06 | +63.5% | +13.0% | +24.6% | +4.3% | +1.4% |
| 2022-11-08 beat | -0.21 | -0.14 | +32.1% | +4.8% | +25.4% | +26.5% | +35.6% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | -0.23 | -0.16 | +29.0% | +3.2% | +14.2% | +3.4% | -9.2% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | -0.24 | -0.20 | +16.7% | +4.1% | -3.8% | -2.6% | -21.2% |
| 2022-02-23 beat | -0.15 | -0.14 | +3.8% | +1.8% | -1.1% | +12.3% | -3.7% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +6.8% | -8.3% | -17.6% | +10.8% | -17.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.