NEU chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | +0.5% | 3.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.7% | 1.3% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | +0.0% | 1.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -0.9% | 6.0% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-23 beat | 5.93 | 6.06 | +2.2% | +0.2% | +2.2% | +2.2% | +3.1% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 5.16 | 6.63 | +28.5% | +4.3% | +5.5% | +0.0% | +6.7% |
| 2019-04-24 miss | 5.81 | 5.57 | -4.1% | -1.5% | -2.7% | +1.1% | -1.1% |
| 2019-02-19 beat | 4.66 | 5.56 | +19.3% | -0.3% | -0.1% | +2.0% | +0.2% |
| 2018-08-08 miss | 5.68 | 4.53 | -20.2% | -5.3% | -6.9% | +4.6% | +5.5% |
| 2018-04-25 miss | 5.60 | 5.14 | -8.2% | -3.2% | +1.2% | -10.3% | -6.4% |
| 2018-02-06 miss | 3.62 | 3.05 | -15.8% | +0.8% | +3.9% | +5.1% | +10.0% |
| 2017-10-25 miss | 5.70 | 5.04 | -11.6% | -3.9% | -3.7% | -1.4% | -2.8% |
| 2017-08-02 miss | 5.73 | 5.29 | -7.7% | -4.0% | -3.9% | -4.7% | -4.6% |
| 2017-04-26 beat | 4.04 | 5.39 | +33.4% | +0.3% | +2.1% | -2.2% | -0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.