NEU chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | -0.1% | 5.6% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.6% | 1.6% | 43% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.4% | 1.6% | 60% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | -0.1% | 6.3% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-23 beat | 5.93 | 6.06 | +2.2% | +0.2% | +2.2% | +2.2% | +3.1% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 5.16 | 6.63 | +28.5% | +4.3% | +5.5% | +0.0% | +6.7% |
| 2019-04-24 miss | 5.81 | 5.57 | -4.1% | -1.5% | -2.7% | +1.1% | -1.1% |
| 2019-02-19 beat | 4.66 | 5.56 | +19.3% | -0.3% | -0.1% | +2.0% | +0.2% |
| 2018-08-08 miss | 5.68 | 4.53 | -20.2% | -5.3% | -6.9% | +4.6% | +5.5% |
| 2018-04-25 miss | 5.60 | 5.14 | -8.2% | -3.2% | +1.2% | -10.3% | -6.4% |
| 2018-02-06 miss | 3.62 | 3.05 | -15.8% | +0.8% | +3.9% | +5.1% | +10.0% |
| 2017-10-25 miss | 5.70 | 5.04 | -11.6% | -3.9% | -3.7% | -1.4% | -2.8% |
| 2017-08-02 miss | 5.73 | 5.29 | -7.7% | -4.0% | -3.9% | -4.7% | -4.6% |
| 2017-04-26 beat | 4.04 | 5.39 | +33.4% | +0.3% | +2.1% | -2.2% | -0.6% |
| 2017-01-31 miss | 4.14 | 3.86 | -6.9% | -1.7% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +1.1% |
| 2016-10-26 beat | 5.22 | 6.00 | +14.9% | +1.0% | +0.7% | -2.3% | +1.6% |
| 2016-07-27 beat | 5.45 | 5.50 | +1.0% | +1.0% | +5.1% | -2.1% | -1.9% |
| 2016-04-27 beat | 4.86 | 5.42 | +11.5% | +0.1% | -1.0% | +0.9% | +2.4% |
| 2016-02-01 beat | 4.26 | 4.44 | +4.2% | -2.4% | -7.9% | -5.9% | +7.7% |
| 2015-10-26 beat | 4.54 | 5.25 | +15.7% | +1.6% | -0.3% | +6.8% | +9.5% |
| 2015-07-28 miss | 5.27 | 4.65 | -11.8% | -3.2% | -9.1% | -6.0% | -7.8% |
| 2015-04-22 beat | 4.87 | 5.26 | +7.9% | +1.8% | +1.1% | -4.8% | -2.6% |
| 2015-01-29 beat | 3.92 | 4.30 | +9.7% | +1.9% | +4.3% | +1.5% | +5.0% |
| 2014-10-29 miss | 4.88 | 4.52 | -7.3% | -0.4% | -1.7% | +1.2% | +0.5% |
| 2014-07-29 beat | 5.02 | 5.35 | +6.6% | +1.2% | +1.5% | -1.3% | +2.7% |
| 2014-04-23 miss | 5.32 | 4.54 | -14.6% | -4.2% | -5.8% | -1.0% | +4.3% |
| 2014-01-30 beat | 3.55 | 4.01 | +13.0% | +1.3% | +5.1% | +1.4% | +11.7% |
| 2013-10-28 miss | 4.65 | 4.32 | -7.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +1.4% | +5.4% |
| 2013-07-30 miss | 4.87 | 4.61 | -5.3% | -0.9% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +1.6% |
| 2013-04-24 beat | 4.82 | 5.04 | +4.5% | -0.6% | -3.1% | +1.4% | +3.3% |
| 2013-01-28 miss | 4.11 | 3.47 | -15.6% | -3.1% | -6.5% | -0.9% | -3.4% |
| 2012-10-25 beat | 4.36 | 4.91 | +12.6% | +6.8% | +14.0% | -6.8% | -2.3% |
| 2012-07-30 beat | 4.55 | 4.69 | +3.1% | -1.8% | -0.9% | +6.0% | +6.8% |
| 2012-04-25 beat | 3.50 | 5.03 | +43.9% | +1.8% | +16.4% | -4.0% | -7.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.