NICE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.7% | -3.1% | 10.6% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 3.1% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.8% | 3.4% | 65% |
| 5-day | -3.6% | -4.0% | 13.0% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 2.64 | 2.70 | +2.3% | -7.4% | -3.8% | -0.8% | +9.0% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 2.52 | 2.64 | +4.8% | -15.1% | -22.5% | -10.8% | -3.8% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 3.21 | 3.24 | +0.8% | +8.0% | +13.2% | +3.9% | +6.1% |
| 2025-11-13 beat | 3.17 | 3.18 | +0.3% | +4.4% | +6.2% | -24.5% | -19.7% |
| 2025-08-14 beat | 2.99 | 3.01 | +0.7% | -7.2% | -13.6% | +7.6% | +12.0% |
| 2025-05-15 beat | 2.84 | 2.87 | +1.1% | -1.5% | -4.9% | +0.3% | +4.1% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 2.95 | 3.02 | +2.4% | -11.0% | -14.0% | -6.9% | +2.1% |
| 2024-11-14 beat | 2.68 | 2.88 | +7.6% | -9.0% | -8.5% | -6.0% | +2.3% |
| 2024-08-15 beat | 2.58 | 2.64 | +2.3% | +5.0% | +4.6% | +1.0% | -7.4% |
| 2024-05-16 beat | 2.45 | 2.58 | +5.4% | -7.4% | -12.9% | -4.3% | -15.9% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 2.26 | 2.36 | +4.6% | +6.0% | +8.7% | -0.1% | +6.4% |
| 2023-11-16 beat | 2.15 | 2.27 | +5.7% | +8.8% | +9.0% | -1.0% | +2.6% |
| 2023-08-17 beat | 2.06 | 2.13 | +3.4% | -4.4% | -7.6% | +1.6% | -8.9% |
| 2023-05-11 beat | 1.98 | 2.03 | +2.3% | +4.7% | -5.6% | +5.7% | +24.4% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 1.93 | 2.04 | +5.5% | -3.6% | -2.5% | +0.3% | +0.0% |
| 2022-11-10 beat | 1.87 | 1.92 | +2.9% | +18.6% | +20.2% | -0.5% | +0.9% |
| 2022-08-18 beat | 1.79 | 1.86 | +3.9% | +2.5% | -1.8% | -1.7% | -10.5% |
| 2022-05-12 beat | 1.71 | 1.80 | +5.5% | +3.7% | +4.1% | +1.3% | +0.0% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 1.71 | 1.73 | +1.3% | -2.4% | -8.6% | -4.9% | -8.9% |
| 2021-11-11 beat | 1.58 | 1.68 | +6.1% | +5.6% | +6.8% | -1.7% | -2.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.