NICE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -5.6% | -6.7% | 11.0% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +1.1% | 3.2% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +2.8% | 4.5% | 70% |
| 5-day | -9.4% | -10.6% | 14.0% | 20% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 2.64 | 2.70 | +2.3% | -7.4% | -3.8% | -0.8% | +9.0% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 2.52 | 2.64 | +4.8% | -15.1% | -22.5% | -10.8% | -3.8% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 3.21 | 3.24 | +0.8% | +8.0% | +13.2% | +3.9% | +6.1% |
| 2025-11-13 beat | 3.17 | 3.18 | +0.3% | +4.4% | +6.2% | -24.5% | -19.7% |
| 2025-08-14 beat | 2.99 | 3.01 | +0.7% | -7.2% | -13.6% | +7.6% | +12.0% |
| 2025-05-15 beat | 2.84 | 2.87 | +1.1% | -1.5% | -4.9% | +0.3% | +4.1% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 2.95 | 3.02 | +2.4% | -11.0% | -14.0% | -6.9% | +2.1% |
| 2024-11-14 beat | 2.68 | 2.88 | +7.6% | -9.0% | -8.5% | -6.0% | +2.3% |
| 2024-08-15 beat | 2.58 | 2.64 | +2.3% | +5.0% | +4.6% | +1.0% | -7.4% |
| 2024-05-16 beat | 2.45 | 2.58 | +5.4% | -7.4% | -12.9% | -4.3% | -15.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.