NOC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | +0.5% | 4.7% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 2.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 1.2% | 47% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | -1.1% | 6.1% | 37% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 6.82 | 7.68 | +12.7% | -6.5% | -2.2% | +7.2% | +13.8% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 6.06 | 6.14 | +1.3% | -2.6% | -7.0% | -5.5% | -9.6% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 6.96 | 7.23 | +3.8% | -1.7% | +2.7% | +3.9% | +4.7% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 6.46 | 7.67 | +18.8% | -2.0% | -0.4% | -0.7% | -5.7% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 6.80 | 8.15 | +19.9% | +4.0% | +9.4% | +1.7% | +5.1% |
| 2025-04-22 miss | 6.26 | 3.32 | -47.0% | -8.8% | -12.7% | +3.9% | +2.1% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 6.35 | 6.39 | +0.7% | -2.0% | +0.4% | -3.5% | -2.1% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 6.07 | 7.00 | +15.4% | -0.1% | +1.4% | -2.8% | -5.1% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 5.93 | 6.36 | +7.2% | +4.3% | +6.4% | +4.8% | +8.2% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 5.78 | 6.32 | +9.4% | -1.2% | +2.8% | -2.7% | -4.4% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 5.80 | 6.27 | +8.1% | -3.7% | -6.3% | +2.7% | +5.7% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 5.80 | 6.18 | +6.6% | +0.7% | -1.1% | -0.4% | -2.0% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 5.32 | 5.34 | +0.3% | -3.2% | -2.6% | -0.6% | -3.5% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 5.09 | 5.50 | +8.0% | +0.8% | +1.9% | -3.4% | -4.2% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 6.57 | 7.50 | +14.2% | -1.1% | -4.3% | -0.6% | +6.0% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 6.11 | 5.89 | -3.7% | -3.5% | +0.9% | -1.9% | -2.0% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | 6.10 | 6.06 | -0.7% | -1.7% | +1.9% | +5.2% | +6.7% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 5.98 | 6.10 | +2.0% | -0.6% | +1.2% | +4.8% | +5.7% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 5.96 | 6.00 | +0.6% | -3.3% | -7.3% | +0.0% | +18.2% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 5.98 | 6.63 | +10.8% | -2.0% | -7.6% | -0.6% | -0.6% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 5.85 | 6.42 | +9.7% | +0.7% | +1.5% | -1.9% | -0.2% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 5.48 | 6.57 | +19.8% | +1.1% | +4.1% | +5.1% | +3.9% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 5.71 | 6.59 | +15.4% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +3.0% | +0.1% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 5.60 | 5.89 | +5.1% | +0.3% | -1.7% | -3.5% | +1.1% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 5.28 | 6.01 | +13.8% | -0.4% | +3.4% | +0.1% | +5.7% |
| 2020-04-29 miss | 5.49 | 5.15 | -6.2% | -3.5% | -3.7% | -2.7% | +1.0% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 4.77 | 5.61 | +17.6% | -2.5% | +0.6% | -5.5% | -12.7% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 4.76 | 5.49 | +15.4% | -1.5% | +1.1% | -1.2% | -2.2% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | 4.65 | 5.06 | +8.8% | +0.0% | +5.9% | +0.8% | +8.5% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 4.60 | 5.06 | +10.0% | -1.0% | -4.3% | +3.3% | +11.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.